What markets are included in the Napoli vs Torino prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Napoli vs Torino prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Napoli vs Torino

Napoli vs Torino prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-04-27 18:45

Napoli

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

46%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-0

Torino

Away

Prediction Summary

49%

26%

25%

Under 2.5

54%

BTTS No

51%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Napoli (Home)

Goals scored / match1.68

Goals conceded / match0.68

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate42%

Torino (Away)

Goals scored / match1.16

Goals conceded / match1.42

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Napoli

WDDWW

Torino

LLLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 68%

63% +1.5 42%

16% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

42% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Napoli averages 1.68 goals scored at home, while Torino averages 1.16 goals scored away.

Model Strength

54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

49%

Draw

26%

Away Win

25%

Over 2.5

46%

BTTS Yes

49%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Napoli 2 - 1 Torino Home

Oct 2025 Napoli(A) 0 - 1 Torino Away

Apr 2025 Napoli 2 - 0 Torino Home

Dec 2024 Napoli(A) 1 - 0 Torino Home

Mar 2024 Napoli 1 - 1 Torino Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Napoli won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Napoli — unbeaten run (home)11

Napoli — scoring streak (home)11

Torino — winless run (away)5

Torino — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Napoli Win (1)49%

Draw (X)26%

Torino Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 68%

63% +1.5 42%

16% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 32%

37% -1.5 58%

84% -2.5 95%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Napoli vs Torino — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Napoli — scored (home)1.68

Napoli — conceded (home)0.68

Torino — scored (away)1.16

Torino — conceded (away)1.42

Model expected combined goals2.51

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%

No51%

Rate per Team

Napoli — BTTS matches (home)42%

Torino — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)47.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.589%

Under 6.511%

Over 7.577%

Under 7.523%

Over 8.556%

Under 8.544%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.537%

Under 10.563%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Napoli (home)

Corners for6.8

Corners against3.3

Torino (away)

Corners for3.7

Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Napoli

7 7 8 5 11

Torino

7 6 12 7 3

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.590%

Under 1.510%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Napoli (home)

For1.2

Torino (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Napoli — total shots (home)16.3

Torino — total shots (away)9.4

Shots on Target

Napoli — on target (home)5.0

Torino — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Napoli

Inside the box9.26

Outside the box4

Torino

Inside the box6.26

Outside the box3.89

Player Shots Napoli

C. Ngonge

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target11%

G. Raspadori

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target8%

P. Billing

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target10%

S. McTominay

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target68%

+1.5 On Target24%

K. Kvaratskhelia

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target71%

+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Torino

C. Casadei

Shots on Target/Game2.3

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target13%

D. Zapata

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target86%

+1.5 On Target29%

C. Adams

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target25%

E. Elmas

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target15%

N. Vlašić

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target30%

+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Napoli xG (home)1.43

Torino xG (away)0.93

Average Possession

54.55% Possession 47.45%

Team Comparison Napoli vs Torino

86.08% Pass accuracy 81.16%

485.32 Passes per match 405.37

0.04 Goals prevented 0.05

10.92 Fouls committed 12.71

1.92 Goalkeeper saves 3.86

1.49 Offsides 1.54

14.08 Tackles per match 12.32

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Napoli vs Torino prediction analysis

Review Napoli vs Torino with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights