Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Nautico Recife vs Atletico Goianiense

Nautico Recife vs Atletico Goianiense prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie B 2026-08-09 19:00
Nautico Recife
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
23%
Confidence
High
Score
0-0
Atletico Goianiense
Away

Prediction Summary

1
42%
X
34%
2
24%
Under 2.5
77%
BTTS No
69%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Nautico Recife (Home)

Goals scored / match0.67
Goals conceded / match0.67
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate33%

Atletico Goianiense (Away)

Goals scored / match0.67
Goals conceded / match1.33
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate33%

Team Form last 5 matches

Nautico Recife
WLLDL
Atletico Goianiense
WDLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

33% +0.5 67%
33% +1.5 0%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
33% BTTS 33%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 23%. Model confidence is High.

Nautico Recife averages 0.67 goals scored at home, while Atletico Goianiense averages 0.67 goals scored away.

Model Strength
77%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
42%
Draw
34%
Away Win
24%
Over 2.5
23%
BTTS Yes
31%

Head-to-Head last 0

No head-to-head historyThese two teams have no finished match on record against each other.

Current Streaks

Nautico Recife — unbeaten run (home)2
Nautico Recife — scoring streak (home)1
Atletico Goianiense — winless run (away)0
Atletico Goianiense — clean sheets (away, last 3)1 of 3

1X2 Probability model

Nautico Recife Win (1)42%
Draw (X)34%
Atletico Goianiense Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

33% +0.5 67%
33% +1.5 0%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

67% -0.5 33%
67% -1.5 100%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Nautico Recife vs Atletico Goianiense — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Nautico Recife — scored (home)0.67
Nautico Recife — conceded (home)0.67
Atletico Goianiense — scored (away)0.67
Atletico Goianiense — conceded (away)1.33
Model expected combined goals1.67

Both Teams To Score

Yes31%
No69%

Rate per Team

Nautico Recife — BTTS matches (home)33%
Atletico Goianiense — BTTS matches (away)33%
Combined (simple average)33%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Nautico Recife (home)

Corners for6.7
Corners against4.0

Atletico Goianiense (away)

Corners for4.0
Corners against6.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Nautico Recife
9 8 11 7 15
Atletico Goianiense
10 8 11 9 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Nautico Recife (home)

For2.7

Atletico Goianiense (away)

For2.0

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.579%
Under 19.521%
Over 22.565%
Under 22.535%
Over 25.551%
Under 25.549%
Expected total shots26.32

Nautico Recife

Shots Over 9.585%
Shots Over 11.572%
Shots Over 13.557%
Expected shots14.95
On Target Over 3.569%
On Target Over 4.551%
On Target Over 5.535%
Expected on target4.79

Atletico Goianiense

Shots Over 9.564%
Shots Over 11.545%
Shots Over 13.529%
Expected shots11.38
On Target Over 3.548%
On Target Over 4.529%
On Target Over 5.516%
Expected on target3.59

Shots per Game

Nautico Recife — total shots (home)19.7
Atletico Goianiense — total shots (away)9.0

Shots on Target

Nautico Recife — on target (home)5.3
Atletico Goianiense — on target (away)2.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Nautico Recife

Inside the box9
Outside the box7.83

Atletico Goianiense

Inside the box9.2
Outside the box4

Player Shots Nautico Recife

Derek
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target20%
Victor Andrade
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
Kaua Almeida da Costa
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
Dodozinho
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target33%
Luiz Claudio
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Atletico Goianiense

Gustavo Coutinho
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
Guilherme Lopes
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target20%
Léo Jacó
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Marrony
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
Geovany Soares
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Nautico Recife xG (home)1.22
Atletico Goianiense xG (away)1.51

Average Possession

61.5% Possession 51.2%

Team Comparison Nautico Recife vs Atletico Goianiense

82.38% Pass accuracy 83.92%
450.67 Passes per match 385.8
-0.05 Goals prevented -0.04
15 Fouls committed 14.2
3.5 Goalkeeper saves 2
1.83 Offsides 1.75
11.33 Tackles per match 12.4

League average xG this season is 1.13 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Nautico Recife vs Atletico Goianiense prediction and preview

Preview Nautico Recife vs Atletico Goianiense with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.

1X2 Over/Under 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie B
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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