Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos Piraeus

NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos Piraeus prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2026-08-11 17:00
NEC Nijmegen
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Home Win
Pick
NEC Nijmegen
Probability
54%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Olympiakos Piraeus
Away

Prediction Summary

1
54%
X
23%
2
22%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

NEC Nijmegen (Home)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Olympiakos Piraeus (Away)

Goals scored / match0.8
Goals conceded / match1.8
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate40%

Team Form last 5 matches

Olympiakos Piraeus
DLWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 60%
0% +1.5 20%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 40%

Model Insight

The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Low.

NEC Nijmegen averages 0 goals scored at home, while Olympiakos Piraeus averages 0.8 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
54%
Draw
23%
Away Win
22%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
53%

Head-to-Head last 0

No head-to-head historyThese two teams have no finished match on record against each other.

Current Streaks

Olympiakos Piraeus — winless run (away)1
Olympiakos Piraeus — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

NEC Nijmegen Win (1)54%
Draw (X)23%
Olympiakos Piraeus Win (2)22%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 60%
0% +1.5 20%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 40%
100% -1.5 80%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos Piraeus — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

NEC Nijmegen — scored (home)0
NEC Nijmegen — conceded (home)0
Olympiakos Piraeus — scored (away)0.8
Olympiakos Piraeus — conceded (away)1.8
Model expected combined goals2.79

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%
No47%

Rate per Team

NEC Nijmegen — BTTS matches (home)0%
Olympiakos Piraeus — BTTS matches (away)40%
Combined (simple average)20%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

NEC Nijmegen (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Olympiakos Piraeus (away)

Corners for4.8
Corners against4.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Olympiakos Piraeus
9 10 9 6 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.540%
Under 1.560%
Over 2.530%
Under 2.570%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3

Yellow Cards per Team

NEC Nijmegen (home)

For—

Olympiakos Piraeus (away)

For2.0

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.571%
Under 19.529%
Over 22.559%
Under 22.541%
Over 25.546%
Under 25.554%
Expected total shots25.69

NEC Nijmegen

Shots Over 9.578%
Shots Over 11.565%
Shots Over 13.551%
Expected shots14.40
On Target Over 3.569%
On Target Over 4.555%
On Target Over 5.542%
Expected on target5.28

Olympiakos Piraeus

Shots Over 9.560%
Shots Over 11.544%
Shots Over 13.530%
Expected shots11.29
On Target Over 3.554%
On Target Over 4.539%
On Target Over 5.526%
Expected on target4.12

Shots per Game

NEC Nijmegen — total shots (home)—
Olympiakos Piraeus — total shots (away)10.6

Shots on Target

NEC Nijmegen — on target (home)—
Olympiakos Piraeus — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

NEC Nijmegen

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Olympiakos Piraeus

Inside the box7.2
Outside the box5.4

Player Shots NEC Nijmegen

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Olympiakos Piraeus

A. El Kaabi
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target30%
Gelson Martins
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
Chiquinho
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target30%
Daniel Podence
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
M. Taremi
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

NEC Nijmegen xG (home)-
Olympiakos Piraeus xG (away)1.07

Average Possession

-% Possession 42.9%

Team Comparison NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos Piraeus

0% Pass accuracy 75.8%
- Passes per match 379.9
- Goals prevented -0.26
- Fouls committed 11.1
- Goalkeeper saves 2.1
- Offsides 2.5
- Tackles per match 15.8

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos Piraeus prediction analysis

Review NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos Piraeus with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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