Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar

NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Eredivisie 2026-08-08 14:30
NEC Nijmegen
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
63%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Telstar
Away

Prediction Summary

1
54%
X
22%
2
24%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
62%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

NEC Nijmegen (Home)

Goals scored / match2.41
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate41%
BTTS rate76%

Telstar (Away)

Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.59
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

NEC Nijmegen
WLDDD
Telstar
WWDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 71%
82% +1.5 24%
41% +2.5 6%
12% +3.5 6%
6% +4.5 0%
76% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 63%. Model confidence is Medium.

NEC Nijmegen averages 2.41 goals scored at home, while Telstar averages 1.06 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
54%
Draw
22%
Away Win
24%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
62%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 NEC Nijmegen 1 - 1 Telstar Draw
Dec 2025 NEC Nijmegen(A) 2 - 2 Telstar Draw
Apr 2021 NEC Nijmegen 1 - 1 Telstar Draw
Jan 2021 NEC Nijmegen(A) 2 - 5 Telstar Away
Feb 2020 NEC Nijmegen(A) 7 - 1 Telstar Home

In the last 5 meetings, NEC Nijmegen won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

NEC Nijmegen — unbeaten run (home)5
NEC Nijmegen — scoring streak (home)17
Telstar — winless run (away)0
Telstar — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

NEC Nijmegen Win (1)54%
Draw (X)22%
Telstar Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 71%
82% +1.5 24%
41% +2.5 6%
12% +3.5 6%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 29%
18% -1.5 76%
59% -2.5 94%
88% -3.5 94%
94% -4.5 100%

NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

NEC Nijmegen — scored (home)2.41
NEC Nijmegen — conceded (home)1.47
Telstar — scored (away)1.06
Telstar — conceded (away)1.59
Model expected combined goals3.27

Both Teams To Score

Yes62%
No38%

Rate per Team

NEC Nijmegen — BTTS matches (home)76%
Telstar — BTTS matches (away)59%
Combined (simple average)67.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.564%
Under 8.536%
Over 9.554%
Under 9.546%
Over 10.545%
Under 10.555%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

NEC Nijmegen (home)

Corners for6.8
Corners against3.2

Telstar (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against7.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

NEC Nijmegen
5 12 9 11 17
Telstar
12 11 9 13 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.591%
Under 0.59%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.568%
Under 2.532%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

NEC Nijmegen (home)

For1.7

Telstar (away)

For1.5

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.580%
Under 19.520%
Over 22.569%
Under 22.531%
Over 25.558%
Under 25.542%
Expected total shots28.56

NEC Nijmegen

Shots Over 9.587%
Shots Over 11.577%
Shots Over 13.565%
Expected shots16.61
On Target Over 3.579%
On Target Over 4.566%
On Target Over 5.553%
Expected on target6.10

Telstar

Shots Over 9.565%
Shots Over 11.549%
Shots Over 13.534%
Expected shots11.96
On Target Over 3.561%
On Target Over 4.545%
On Target Over 5.531%
Expected on target4.51

Shots per Game

NEC Nijmegen — total shots (home)18.4
Telstar — total shots (away)12.1

Shots on Target

NEC Nijmegen — on target (home)6.8
Telstar — on target (away)4.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

NEC Nijmegen

Inside the box10.65
Outside the box6.41

Telstar

Inside the box8.41
Outside the box4.35

Player Shots NEC Nijmegen

T. Chery
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target42%
B. Linssen
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target28%
N. Lebreton
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target18%
Koki Ogawa
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target19%
B. Önal
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots Telstar

N. Þórisson
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target29%
Sebastiaan Hagedoorn
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
P. Brouwer
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target23%
S. van Duijn
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target21%
M. Zonneveld
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

NEC Nijmegen xG (home)1.88
Telstar xG (away)1.49

Average Possession

56.62% Possession 45.12%

Team Comparison NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar

78.74% Pass accuracy 76.32%
429.21 Passes per match 362.44
-0.09 Goals prevented 0.31
11.91 Fouls committed 11.29
3.41 Goalkeeper saves 4.5
2.19 Offsides 1.88
15.44 Tackles per match 16.38

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar prediction analysis

Review NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eredivisie.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Eredivisie
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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