Prediction Analysis: Nelson Suburbs vs Auckland United
Nelson Suburbs vs Auckland United prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Chatham Cup
2026-07-26
01:30
Nelson Suburbs
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
83%
Confidence
High
Score
2-2
Auckland United
Away
Prediction Summary
1
43%
X
19%
2
37%
Over 2.5
83%
BTTS Yes
80%
Confidence
High
Market Evidence
Nelson Suburbs (Home)
Goals scored / match3.5
Goals conceded / match0.5
Over 2.5 rate50%
BTTS rate50%
Auckland United (Away)
Goals scored / match3.25
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate75%
BTTS rate50%
Team Form last 5 matches
Nelson Suburbs
WLWWW
Auckland United
LLWWW
Goals Comparison rate per team
100%
+0.5
100%
100%
+1.5
75%
50%
+2.5
75%
50%
+3.5
50%
25%
+4.5
25%
50%
BTTS
50%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 83%. Model confidence is High.
Nelson Suburbs averages 3.5 goals scored at home, while Auckland United averages 3.25 goals scored away.
Model Strength
83%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
43%
Draw
19%
Away Win
37%
Over 2.5
83%
BTTS Yes
80%
Head-to-Head last 2
Jul 2026
Nelson Suburbs
2 - 1
Auckland United
Home
Aug 2025
Nelson Suburbs(A)
0 - 3
Auckland United
Away
In the last 2 meetings, Nelson Suburbs won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Nelson Suburbs — unbeaten run (home)4
Nelson Suburbs — scoring streak (home)4
Auckland United — winless run (away)1
Auckland United — clean sheets (away, last 4)2 of 4
1X2 Probability model
Nelson Suburbs Win (1)43%
Draw (X)19%
Auckland United Win (2)37%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
100%
+0.5
100%
100%
+1.5
75%
50%
+2.5
75%
50%
+3.5
50%
25%
+4.5
25%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
0%
-0.5
0%
0%
-1.5
25%
50%
-2.5
25%
50%
-3.5
50%
75%
-4.5
75%
Nelson Suburbs vs Auckland United — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Nelson Suburbs — scored (home)3.5
Nelson Suburbs — conceded (home)0.5
Auckland United — scored (away)3.25
Auckland United — conceded (away)1
Model expected combined goals4.5
Both Teams To Score
Yes80%
No20%
Rate per Team
Nelson Suburbs — BTTS matches (home)50%
Auckland United — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)50%
Corners data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Per-Team Corners own matches
Nelson Suburbs (home)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Auckland United (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
No recent match dataCorners statistics were not available for recent matches.
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Yellow Cards per Team
Nelson Suburbs (home)
For—
Auckland United (away)
For—
Shots per Game
Nelson Suburbs — total shots (home)—
Auckland United — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
Nelson Suburbs — on target (home)—
Auckland United — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Nelson Suburbs
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Auckland United
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.
Expected Goals (xG)
xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.
Average Possession
-%
Possession
-%
Team Comparison Nelson Suburbs vs Auckland United
0%
Pass accuracy
0%
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Nelson Suburbs vs Auckland United prediction analysis
Review Nelson Suburbs vs Auckland United with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Chatham Cup.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Chatham Cup
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights