Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: NEOM vs Al-Fateh

NEOM vs Al-Fateh prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Pro League 2026-01-10 14:00
NEOM
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Al-Fateh
Away

Prediction Summary

1
42%
X
24%
2
34%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

NEOM (Home)

Goals scored / match1.18
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate65%

Al-Fateh (Away)

Goals scored / match0.94
Goals conceded / match1.71
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

NEOM
DLWDD
Al-Fateh
DWLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 71%
24% +1.5 18%
6% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
65% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

NEOM averages 1.18 goals scored at home, while Al-Fateh averages 0.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength
60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
42%
Draw
24%
Away Win
34%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
60%

Head-to-Head last 2

May 2026 NEOM(A) 2 - 2 Al-Fateh Draw
Jan 2026 NEOM 0 - 1 Al-Fateh Away

In the last 2 meetings, NEOM won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

NEOM — unbeaten run (home)5
NEOM — scoring streak (home)8
Al-Fateh — winless run (away)10
Al-Fateh — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

NEOM Win (1)42%
Draw (X)24%
Al-Fateh Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 71%
24% +1.5 18%
6% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 29%
76% -1.5 82%
94% -2.5 94%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

NEOM vs Al-Fateh — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

NEOM — scored (home)1.18
NEOM — conceded (home)1.41
Al-Fateh — scored (away)0.94
Al-Fateh — conceded (away)1.71
Model expected combined goals3

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%
No40%

Rate per Team

NEOM — BTTS matches (home)65%
Al-Fateh — BTTS matches (away)59%
Combined (simple average)62%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.591%
Under 6.59%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

NEOM (home)

Corners for4.7
Corners against3.8

Al-Fateh (away)

Corners for4.6
Corners against5.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

NEOM
7 12 8 8 4
Al-Fateh
12 4 7 10 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.580%
Under 2.520%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

NEOM (home)

For2.0

Al-Fateh (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

NEOM — total shots (home)12.2
Al-Fateh — total shots (away)10.4

Shots on Target

NEOM — on target (home)4.7
Al-Fateh — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

NEOM

Inside the box8.12
Outside the box5

Al-Fateh

Inside the box7.71
Outside the box4.71

Player Shots NEOM

S. Benrahma
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target35%
L. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target17%
A. Lacazette
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target23%
R. Messi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target8%
Abdulaziz Noor
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Al-Fateh

M. Batna
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target45%
K. Toko Ekambi
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target29%
S. Bendebka
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Vargas
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target14%
Abdullah Al Anazi
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

NEOM xG (home)1.6
Al-Fateh xG (away)1.48

Average Possession

52.76% Possession 46.35%

Team Comparison NEOM vs Al-Fateh

83.58% Pass accuracy 78.41%
412.61 Passes per match 319.21
0.39 Goals prevented 0.44
11.48 Fouls committed 13.09
3.15 Goalkeeper saves 3.68
1.72 Offsides 2.26
15.58 Tackles per match 18.06

League average xG this season is 1.5 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

NEOM vs Al-Fateh prediction analysis

Review NEOM vs Al-Fateh with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top