Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: NEOM vs Al-Fayha

NEOM vs Al-Fayha prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Pro League 2026-08-14 16:50
NEOM
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
57%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Al-Fayha
Away

Prediction Summary

1
45%
X
25%
2
30%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

NEOM (Home)

Goals scored / match1.18
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate65%

Al-Fayha (Away)

Goals scored / match1.12
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

NEOM
DLWDD
Al-Fayha
LLLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 59%
24% +1.5 29%
6% +2.5 12%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 6%
65% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 57%. Model confidence is Medium.

NEOM averages 1.18 goals scored at home, while Al-Fayha averages 1.12 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
45%
Draw
25%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
57%

Head-to-Head last 2

Apr 2026 NEOM 1 - 0 Al-Fayha Home
Feb 2026 NEOM(A) 1 - 1 Al-Fayha Draw

In the last 2 meetings, NEOM won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

NEOM — unbeaten run (home)5
NEOM — scoring streak (home)8
Al-Fayha — winless run (away)4
Al-Fayha — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

NEOM Win (1)45%
Draw (X)25%
Al-Fayha Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 59%
24% +1.5 29%
6% +2.5 12%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 41%
76% -1.5 71%
94% -2.5 88%
100% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 94%

NEOM vs Al-Fayha — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

NEOM — scored (home)1.18
NEOM — conceded (home)1.41
Al-Fayha — scored (away)1.12
Al-Fayha — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals2.85

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%
No43%

Rate per Team

NEOM — BTTS matches (home)65%
Al-Fayha — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)59%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.561%
Under 8.539%
Over 9.551%
Under 9.549%
Over 10.542%
Under 10.558%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

NEOM (home)

Corners for4.7
Corners against3.8

Al-Fayha (away)

Corners for4.8
Corners against6.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

NEOM
7 12 8 8 4
Al-Fayha
9 15 6 13 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.580%
Under 2.520%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

NEOM (home)

For2.0

Al-Fayha (away)

For1.6

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.567%
Under 19.533%
Over 22.553%
Under 22.547%
Over 25.540%
Under 25.560%
Expected total shots24.25

NEOM

Shots Over 9.570%
Shots Over 11.554%
Shots Over 13.540%
Expected shots12.67
On Target Over 3.562%
On Target Over 4.546%
On Target Over 5.533%
Expected on target4.61

Al-Fayha

Shots Over 9.563%
Shots Over 11.546%
Shots Over 13.532%
Expected shots11.58
On Target Over 3.554%
On Target Over 4.538%
On Target Over 5.525%
Expected on target4.09

Shots per Game

NEOM — total shots (home)12.2
Al-Fayha — total shots (away)10.5

Shots on Target

NEOM — on target (home)4.7
Al-Fayha — on target (away)3.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

NEOM

Inside the box8.12
Outside the box5

Al-Fayha

Inside the box6.44
Outside the box3.71

Player Shots NEOM

S. Benrahma
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target35%
L. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target17%
A. Lacazette
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target23%
R. Messi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target8%
Abdulaziz Noor
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Al-Fayha

F. Sakala
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target28%
Jason
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%
Y. Benzia
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
Abdullah Radif
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
S. Ganvoula
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

NEOM xG (home)1.6
Al-Fayha xG (away)1.07

Average Possession

52.76% Possession 44.74%

Team Comparison NEOM vs Al-Fayha

83.58% Pass accuracy 82.21%
412.61 Passes per match 365
0.39 Goals prevented -0.27
11.48 Fouls committed 10.53
3.15 Goalkeeper saves 3
1.72 Offsides 2.33
15.58 Tackles per match 15.56

League average xG this season is 1.5 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

NEOM vs Al-Fayha prediction analysis

Review NEOM vs Al-Fayha with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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