Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: NEOM vs Al-Nassr

NEOM vs Al-Nassr prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Pro League 2025-11-08 13:50
NEOM
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
50%
Confidence
High
Score
0-2
Al-Nassr
Away

Prediction Summary

1
7%
X
17%
2
76%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS No
65%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

NEOM (Home)

Goals scored / match1.18
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate65%

Al-Nassr (Away)

Goals scored / match2.65
Goals conceded / match0.94
Over 2.5 rate41%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

NEOM
DLWDD
Al-Nassr
WDWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 100%
24% +1.5 82%
6% +2.5 41%
0% +3.5 24%
0% +4.5 18%
65% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is High.

NEOM averages 1.18 goals scored at home, while Al-Nassr averages 2.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength
76%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
7%
Draw
17%
Away Win
76%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
35%

Head-to-Head last 2

Mar 2026 NEOM(A) 0 - 1 Al-Nassr Away
Nov 2025 NEOM 1 - 3 Al-Nassr Away

In the last 2 meetings, NEOM won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

NEOM — unbeaten run (home)5
NEOM — scoring streak (home)8
Al-Nassr — winless run (away)0
Al-Nassr — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

NEOM Win (1)7%
Draw (X)17%
Al-Nassr Win (2)76%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 100%
24% +1.5 82%
6% +2.5 41%
0% +3.5 24%
0% +4.5 18%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 0%
76% -1.5 18%
94% -2.5 59%
100% -3.5 76%
100% -4.5 82%

NEOM vs Al-Nassr — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

NEOM — scored (home)1.18
NEOM — conceded (home)1.41
Al-Nassr — scored (away)2.65
Al-Nassr — conceded (away)0.94
Model expected combined goals2.67

Both Teams To Score

Yes35%
No65%

Rate per Team

NEOM — BTTS matches (home)65%
Al-Nassr — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)56%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.594%
Under 6.56%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.538%
Under 9.562%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

NEOM (home)

Corners for4.7
Corners against3.8

Al-Nassr (away)

Corners for6.6
Corners against3.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

NEOM
7 12 8 8 4
Al-Nassr
11 11 10 8 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

NEOM (home)

For2.0

Al-Nassr (away)

For1.7

Shots per Game

NEOM — total shots (home)12.2
Al-Nassr — total shots (away)18.0

Shots on Target

NEOM — on target (home)4.7
Al-Nassr — on target (away)6.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

NEOM

Inside the box8.12
Outside the box5

Al-Nassr

Inside the box12.26
Outside the box5.65

Player Shots NEOM

S. Benrahma
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target35%
L. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target17%
A. Lacazette
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target23%
R. Messi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target8%
Abdulaziz Noor
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Al-Nassr

Cristiano Ronaldo
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target93%
+1.5 On Target63%
João Félix
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target79%
+1.5 On Target42%
S. Mané
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target28%
K. Coman
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target33%
Ângelo
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target16%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

NEOM xG (home)1.6
Al-Nassr xG (away)2.23

Average Possession

52.76% Possession 58.32%

Team Comparison NEOM vs Al-Nassr

83.58% Pass accuracy 86.15%
412.61 Passes per match 440.18
0.39 Goals prevented 0.33
11.48 Fouls committed 12.41
3.15 Goalkeeper saves 1.82
1.72 Offsides 3.06
15.58 Tackles per match 14

League average xG this season is 1.5 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

NEOM vs Al-Nassr prediction analysis

Review NEOM vs Al-Nassr with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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