Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: NEOM vs Al-Qadisiyah FC

NEOM vs Al-Qadisiyah FC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Pro League 2026-08-24 16:40
NEOM
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
62%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Away

Prediction Summary

1
23%
X
22%
2
55%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

NEOM (Home)

Goals scored / match1.18
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate65%

Al-Qadisiyah FC (Away)

Goals scored / match2.53
Goals conceded / match1.24
Over 2.5 rate47%
BTTS rate76%

Team Form last 5 matches

NEOM
DLWDD
Al-Qadisiyah FC
WWWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 94%
24% +1.5 71%
6% +2.5 47%
0% +3.5 29%
0% +4.5 12%
65% BTTS 76%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 62%. Model confidence is Medium.

NEOM averages 1.18 goals scored at home, while Al-Qadisiyah FC averages 2.53 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
23%
Draw
22%
Away Win
55%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
60%

Head-to-Head last 2

Feb 2026 NEOM(A) 0 - 1 Al-Qadisiyah FC Away
Oct 2025 NEOM 1 - 3 Al-Qadisiyah FC Away

In the last 2 meetings, NEOM won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

NEOM — unbeaten run (home)5
NEOM — scoring streak (home)8
Al-Qadisiyah FC — winless run (away)0
Al-Qadisiyah FC — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

NEOM Win (1)23%
Draw (X)22%
Al-Qadisiyah FC Win (2)55%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 94%
24% +1.5 71%
6% +2.5 47%
0% +3.5 29%
0% +4.5 12%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 6%
76% -1.5 29%
94% -2.5 53%
100% -3.5 71%
100% -4.5 88%

NEOM vs Al-Qadisiyah FC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

NEOM — scored (home)1.18
NEOM — conceded (home)1.41
Al-Qadisiyah FC — scored (away)2.53
Al-Qadisiyah FC — conceded (away)1.24
Model expected combined goals3.18

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%
No40%

Rate per Team

NEOM — BTTS matches (home)65%
Al-Qadisiyah FC — BTTS matches (away)76%
Combined (simple average)70.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.561%
Under 8.539%
Over 9.551%
Under 9.549%
Over 10.542%
Under 10.558%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

NEOM (home)

Corners for4.7
Corners against3.8

Al-Qadisiyah FC (away)

Corners for6.4
Corners against3.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

NEOM
7 12 8 8 4
Al-Qadisiyah FC
14 11 6 10 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

NEOM (home)

For2.0

Al-Qadisiyah FC (away)

For2.1

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.570%
Under 19.530%
Over 22.557%
Under 22.543%
Over 25.544%
Under 25.556%
Expected total shots25.14

NEOM

Shots Over 9.566%
Shots Over 11.550%
Shots Over 13.536%
Expected shots12.13
On Target Over 3.559%
On Target Over 4.543%
On Target Over 5.529%
Expected on target4.39

Al-Qadisiyah FC

Shots Over 9.572%
Shots Over 11.557%
Shots Over 13.542%
Expected shots13.00
On Target Over 3.564%
On Target Over 4.549%
On Target Over 5.535%
Expected on target4.78

Shots per Game

NEOM — total shots (home)12.2
Al-Qadisiyah FC — total shots (away)14.9

Shots on Target

NEOM — on target (home)4.7
Al-Qadisiyah FC — on target (away)5.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

NEOM

Inside the box8.12
Outside the box5

Al-Qadisiyah FC

Inside the box10.97
Outside the box3.85

Player Shots NEOM

S. Benrahma
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target35%
L. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target17%
A. Lacazette
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target23%
R. Messi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target8%
Abdulaziz Noor
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Al-Qadisiyah FC

J. Quiñones
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target84%
+1.5 On Target58%
M. Retegui
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target39%
Musab Al Juwayr
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target3%
Mohammed Abu Al Shamat
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target13%
N. Nández
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

NEOM xG (home)1.6
Al-Qadisiyah FC xG (away)2.37

Average Possession

52.76% Possession 60.53%

Team Comparison NEOM vs Al-Qadisiyah FC

83.58% Pass accuracy 86.97%
412.61 Passes per match 526.65
0.39 Goals prevented 0.25
11.48 Fouls committed 12.26
3.15 Goalkeeper saves 2.33
1.72 Offsides 2.56
15.58 Tackles per match 15.32

League average xG this season is 1.5 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

NEOM vs Al-Qadisiyah FC prediction analysis

Review NEOM vs Al-Qadisiyah FC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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