Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo

New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Major League Soccer 2026-08-08 20:30
New England Revolution
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Houston Dynamo
Away

Prediction Summary

1
38%
X
26%
2
36%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

New England Revolution (Home)

Goals scored / match1.26
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate53%

Houston Dynamo (Away)

Goals scored / match1.35
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

New England Revolution
WDDLW
Houston Dynamo
WDDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 71%
42% +1.5 35%
11% +2.5 24%
5% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

New England Revolution averages 1.26 goals scored at home, while Houston Dynamo averages 1.35 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
38%
Draw
26%
Away Win
36%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
56%

Head-to-Head last 4

Oct 2024 New England Revolution(A) 1 - 2 Houston Dynamo Away
Mar 2023 New England Revolution 3 - 0 Houston Dynamo Home
Sep 2022 New England Revolution(A) 1 - 3 Houston Dynamo Away
Jun 2019 New England Revolution 2 - 1 Houston Dynamo Home

In the last 4 meetings, New England Revolution won 2, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

New England Revolution — unbeaten run (home)5
New England Revolution — scoring streak (home)1
Houston Dynamo — winless run (away)3
Houston Dynamo — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

New England Revolution Win (1)38%
Draw (X)26%
Houston Dynamo Win (2)36%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 71%
42% +1.5 35%
11% +2.5 24%
5% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 29%
58% -1.5 65%
89% -2.5 76%
95% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

New England Revolution — scored (home)1.26
New England Revolution — conceded (home)1.37
Houston Dynamo — scored (away)1.35
Houston Dynamo — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals2.76

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%
No44%

Rate per Team

New England Revolution — BTTS matches (home)53%
Houston Dynamo — BTTS matches (away)59%
Combined (simple average)56%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.560%
Under 8.540%
Over 9.549%
Under 9.551%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

New England Revolution (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against3.7

Houston Dynamo (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against6.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

New England Revolution
10 9 7 15 10
Houston Dynamo
8 8 12 6 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.589%
Under 2.511%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

New England Revolution (home)

For2.2

Houston Dynamo (away)

For2.6

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.575%
Under 19.525%
Over 22.561%
Under 22.539%
Over 25.546%
Under 25.554%
Expected total shots25.28

New England Revolution

Shots Over 9.579%
Shots Over 11.564%
Shots Over 13.547%
Expected shots13.61
On Target Over 3.568%
On Target Over 4.551%
On Target Over 5.535%
Expected on target4.79

Houston Dynamo

Shots Over 9.566%
Shots Over 11.548%
Shots Over 13.531%
Expected shots11.67
On Target Over 3.556%
On Target Over 4.538%
On Target Over 5.523%
Expected on target4.05

Shots per Game

New England Revolution — total shots (home)12.3
Houston Dynamo — total shots (away)10.4

Shots on Target

New England Revolution — on target (home)4.2
Houston Dynamo — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

New England Revolution

Inside the box7.47
Outside the box4.68

Houston Dynamo

Inside the box8.18
Outside the box4.09

Player Shots New England Revolution

Carles Gil
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target23%
M. Urruti
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target10%
L. Campana
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target25%
L. Díaz
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target11%
T. Chancalay
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target23%

Player Shots Houston Dynamo

G. Segal
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target9%
+1.5 On Target9%
Antônio Carlos
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target13%
J. McGlynn
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target31%
E. Ponce
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target22%
L. Ennali
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

New England Revolution xG (home)1.28
Houston Dynamo xG (away)1.31

Average Possession

49.62% Possession 50.47%

Team Comparison New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo

83.81% Pass accuracy 85.24%
450.32 Passes per match 456.85
-0.04 Goals prevented 0.04
12 Fouls committed 14.65
3.15 Goalkeeper saves 2.65
2.16 Offsides 1.48
15.74 Tackles per match 13.91

League average xG this season is 1.48 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo prediction analysis

Review New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Major League Soccer.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Major League Soccer
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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