Prediction Analysis: New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City SC
New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City SC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Major League Soccer
2026-08-01
23:30
New York Red Bulls
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
65%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Orlando City SC
Away
Prediction Summary
1
44%
X
23%
2
33%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS Yes
65%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
New York Red Bulls (Home)
Goals scored / match2.12
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate59%
Orlando City SC (Away)
Goals scored / match1.68
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate68%
Team Form last 5 matches
New York Red Bulls
LLLLW
Orlando City SC
WLLLD
Goals Comparison rate per team
88%
+0.5
84%
65%
+1.5
53%
18%
+2.5
21%
18%
+3.5
11%
12%
+4.5
0%
59%
BTTS
68%
Model Insight
The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 65%. Model confidence is Medium.
New York Red Bulls averages 2.12 goals scored at home, while Orlando City SC averages 1.68 goals scored away.
Model Strength
65%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
44%
Draw
23%
Away Win
33%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS Yes
65%
Head-to-Head last 5
Apr 2025
New York Red Bulls(A)
0 - 0
Orlando City SC
Draw
Mar 2025
New York Red Bulls
2 - 2
Orlando City SC
Draw
Dec 2024
New York Red Bulls(A)
1 - 0
Orlando City SC
Home
Jun 2024
New York Red Bulls
1 - 0
Orlando City SC
Home
Mar 2024
New York Red Bulls(A)
1 - 1
Orlando City SC
Draw
In the last 5 meetings, New York Red Bulls won 2, drew 3 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
New York Red Bulls — unbeaten run (home)0
New York Red Bulls — scoring streak (home)0
Orlando City SC — winless run (away)0
Orlando City SC — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
New York Red Bulls Win (1)44%
Draw (X)23%
Orlando City SC Win (2)33%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
88%
+0.5
84%
65%
+1.5
53%
18%
+2.5
21%
18%
+3.5
11%
12%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
12%
-0.5
16%
35%
-1.5
47%
82%
-2.5
79%
82%
-3.5
89%
88%
-4.5
100%
New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City SC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
New York Red Bulls — scored (home)2.12
New York Red Bulls — conceded (home)1.35
Orlando City SC — scored (away)1.68
Orlando City SC — conceded (away)1.47
Model expected combined goals3.31
Both Teams To Score
Yes65%
No35%
Rate per Team
New York Red Bulls — BTTS matches (home)59%
Orlando City SC — BTTS matches (away)68%
Combined (simple average)63.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.560%
Under 8.540%
Over 9.549%
Under 9.551%
Over 10.539%
Under 10.561%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70
Per-Team Corners own matches
New York Red Bulls (home)
Corners for4.2
Corners against3.8
Orlando City SC (away)
Corners for4.3
Corners against5.5
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
New York Red Bulls
10
10
13
5
14
Orlando City SC
14
7
10
6
5
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.592%
Under 2.58%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8
Yellow Cards per Team
New York Red Bulls (home)
For2.4
Orlando City SC (away)
For2.2
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.577%
Under 19.523%
Over 22.562%
Under 22.538%
Over 25.547%
Under 25.553%
Expected total shots25.56
New York Red Bulls
Shots Over 9.582%
Shots Over 11.567%
Shots Over 13.551%
Expected shots14.13
On Target Over 3.573%
On Target Over 4.557%
On Target Over 5.541%
Expected on target5.19
Orlando City SC
Shots Over 9.564%
Shots Over 11.546%
Shots Over 13.529%
Expected shots11.43
On Target Over 3.559%
On Target Over 4.541%
On Target Over 5.526%
Expected on target4.24
Shots per Game
New York Red Bulls — total shots (home)12.8
Orlando City SC — total shots (away)15.7
Shots on Target
New York Red Bulls — on target (home)5.1
Orlando City SC — on target (away)5.7
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
New York Red Bulls
Inside the box7.18
Outside the box4.38
Orlando City SC
Inside the box10.43
Outside the box5.46
Player Shots New York Red Bulls
C. Harper
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target17%
E. Choupo-Moting
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target36%
D. Gjengaar
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target10%
N. Eile
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target7%
S. Ngoma
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target10%
+1.5 On Target5%
Player Shots Orlando City SC
Rafael Santos
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target6%
M. Ojeda
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target74%
+1.5 On Target26%
L. Muriel
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target21%
Marco Pasalic
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target85%
+1.5 On Target26%
R. Enrique
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
New York Red Bulls xG (home)1.31
Orlando City SC xG (away)1.76
Average Possession
51.56%
Possession
47.69%
Team Comparison New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City SC
82.46%
Pass accuracy
84.74%
475.41
Passes per match
438.46
0.06
Goals prevented
0.06
12.32
Fouls committed
10.66
3.18
Goalkeeper saves
3.34
2.12
Offsides
1.62
16.8
Tackles per match
14.26
League average xG this season is 1.48 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City SC prediction analysis
Review New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City SC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Major League Soccer.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Major League Soccer
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights