Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: New Zealand vs Belgium

New Zealand vs Belgium prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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World Cup 2026-06-27 03:00
New Zealand
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
89%
Confidence
High
Score
0-4
Belgium
Away

Prediction Summary

1
4%
X
7%
2
89%
+2.5 Goals
89%
BTTS
62%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

New Zealand (Home)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match4
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate100%

Belgium (Away)

Goals scored / match3.33
Goals conceded / match1.33
Over 2.5 rate67%
BTTS rate100%

Team Form last 5 matches

New Zealand
LLD
Belgium
LWWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 100%
0% +1.5 67%
0% +2.5 67%
0% +3.5 67%
0% +4.5 33%
100% BTTS 100%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 89%. Model confidence is High.

New Zealand averages 1 goals scored at home, while Belgium averages 3.33 goals scored away.

Model Strength
89%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
4%
Draw
7%
Away Win
89%
Over 2.5
89%
BTTS Yes
62%

Head-to-Head last 1

Jun 2026 New Zealand 1 - 5 Belgium Away

In the last 1 meetings, New Zealand won 0, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

New Zealand — unbeaten run (home)0
New Zealand — scoring streak (home)2
Belgium — winless run (away)1
Belgium — clean sheets (away, last 3)0 of 3

1X2 Probability model

New Zealand Win (1)4%
Draw (X)7%
Belgium Win (2)89%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 100%
0% +1.5 67%
0% +2.5 67%
0% +3.5 67%
0% +4.5 33%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 0%
100% -1.5 33%
100% -2.5 33%
100% -3.5 33%
100% -4.5 67%

New Zealand vs Belgium — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

New Zealand — scored (home)1
New Zealand — conceded (home)4
Belgium — scored (away)3.33
Belgium — conceded (away)1.33
Model expected combined goals5.25

Both Teams To Score

Yes62%
No38%

Rate per Team

New Zealand — BTTS matches (home)100%
Belgium — BTTS matches (away)100%
Combined (simple average)100%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.559%
Under 7.541%
Over 8.542%
Under 8.558%
Over 9.542%
Under 9.558%
Over 10.542%
Under 10.558%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

New Zealand (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Belgium (away)

Corners for4.7
Corners against4.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

New Zealand
5 7 13
Belgium
6 13 6 8 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.542%
Under 2.558%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)2.4

Yellow Cards per Team

New Zealand (home)

For—

Belgium (away)

For0.3

Shots per Game

New Zealand — total shots (home)—
Belgium — total shots (away)18.0

Shots on Target

New Zealand — on target (home)—
Belgium — on target (away)6.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

New Zealand

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Belgium

Inside the box12.67
Outside the box5.83

Player Shots New Zealand

E. Just
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target67%
C. McCowatt
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
S. Singh
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
C. Wood
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
F. Surman
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Belgium

M. De Cuyper
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
K. De Bruyne
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target20%
C. De Ketelaere
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
D. Lukebakio
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
Y. Tielemans
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

New Zealand xG (home)-
Belgium xG (away)1.84

Average Possession

-% Possession 51.17%

Team Comparison New Zealand vs Belgium

0% Pass accuracy 85.17%
- Passes per match 501.83
- Goals prevented -0.07
- Fouls committed 12.5
- Goalkeeper saves 2.5
- Offsides 1.33
11.67 Tackles per match 14

League average xG this season is 1.27 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

New Zealand vs Belgium prediction analysis

Review New Zealand vs Belgium with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from World Cup.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance World Cup
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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