Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur

Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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A-League 2026-10-24 04:00
Newcastle Jets
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
64%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Macarthur
Away

Prediction Summary

1
52%
X
22%
2
26%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS Yes
63%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Newcastle Jets (Home)

Goals scored / match2.21
Goals conceded / match1.5
Over 2.5 rate36%
BTTS rate71%

Macarthur (Away)

Goals scored / match1.15
Goals conceded / match1.69
Over 2.5 rate8%
BTTS rate62%

Team Form last 5 matches

Newcastle Jets
DDWDD
Macarthur
WLLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

93% +0.5 77%
50% +1.5 15%
36% +2.5 8%
36% +3.5 8%
7% +4.5 8%
71% BTTS 62%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 64%. Model confidence is Medium.

Newcastle Jets averages 2.21 goals scored at home, while Macarthur averages 1.15 goals scored away.

Model Strength
64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
52%
Draw
22%
Away Win
26%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS Yes
63%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Newcastle Jets(A) 2 - 3 Macarthur Away
Feb 2026 Newcastle Jets 1 - 0 Macarthur Home
Dec 2025 Newcastle Jets 4 - 5 Macarthur Away
Aug 2025 Newcastle Jets 3 - 0 Macarthur Home
Mar 2025 Newcastle Jets(A) 3 - 3 Macarthur Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Newcastle Jets won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Newcastle Jets — unbeaten run (home)3
Newcastle Jets — scoring streak (home)10
Macarthur — winless run (away)2
Macarthur — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Newcastle Jets Win (1)52%
Draw (X)22%
Macarthur Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

93% +0.5 77%
50% +1.5 15%
36% +2.5 8%
36% +3.5 8%
7% +4.5 8%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

7% -0.5 23%
50% -1.5 85%
64% -2.5 92%
64% -3.5 92%
93% -4.5 92%

Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Newcastle Jets — scored (home)2.21
Newcastle Jets — conceded (home)1.5
Macarthur — scored (away)1.15
Macarthur — conceded (away)1.69
Model expected combined goals3.28

Both Teams To Score

Yes63%
No37%

Rate per Team

Newcastle Jets — BTTS matches (home)71%
Macarthur — BTTS matches (away)62%
Combined (simple average)66.5%
Corners data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.

Per-Team Corners own matches

Newcastle Jets (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Macarthur (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

No recent match dataCorners statistics were not available for recent matches.
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.

Yellow Cards per Team

Newcastle Jets (home)

For—

Macarthur (away)

For—

Shots per Game

Newcastle Jets — total shots (home)—
Macarthur — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Newcastle Jets — on target (home)—
Macarthur — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Newcastle Jets

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Macarthur

Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.

Average Possession

-% Possession -%

Team Comparison Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur

0% Pass accuracy 0%
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur prediction analysis

Review Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from A-League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance A-League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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