Prediction Analysis: Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix
Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Newcastle Jets
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
67%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-1

Wellington Phoenix
Away
Prediction Summary
1
53%
X
21%
2
26%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS Yes
66%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Newcastle Jets (Home)
Goals scored / match2.21
Goals conceded / match1.5
Over 2.5 rate36%
BTTS rate71%
Wellington Phoenix (Away)
Goals scored / match1.31
Goals conceded / match1.92
Over 2.5 rate8%
BTTS rate62%
Team Form last 5 matches
Newcastle Jets
DDWDD
Wellington Phoenix
LWLWW
Goals Comparison rate per team
93%
+0.5
85%
50%
+1.5
38%
36%
+2.5
8%
36%
+3.5
0%
7%
+4.5
0%
71%
BTTS
62%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 67%. Model confidence is Medium.
Newcastle Jets averages 2.21 goals scored at home, while Wellington Phoenix averages 1.31 goals scored away.
Model Strength
67%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
53%
Draw
21%
Away Win
26%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS Yes
66%
Head-to-Head last 5
Jan 2026
Newcastle Jets
4 - 1
Wellington Phoenix
Home
Dec 2025
Newcastle Jets(A)
3 - 1
Wellington Phoenix
Home
Apr 2025
Newcastle Jets
1 - 2
Wellington Phoenix
Away
Dec 2024
Newcastle Jets(A)
1 - 2
Wellington Phoenix
Away
Apr 2024
Newcastle Jets
1 - 1
Wellington Phoenix
Draw
In the last 5 meetings, Newcastle Jets won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Newcastle Jets — unbeaten run (home)3
Newcastle Jets — scoring streak (home)10
Wellington Phoenix — winless run (away)2
Wellington Phoenix — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Newcastle Jets Win (1)53%
Draw (X)21%
Wellington Phoenix Win (2)26%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
93%
+0.5
85%
50%
+1.5
38%
36%
+2.5
8%
36%
+3.5
0%
7%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
7%
-0.5
15%
50%
-1.5
62%
64%
-2.5
92%
64%
-3.5
100%
93%
-4.5
100%
Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Newcastle Jets — scored (home)2.21
Newcastle Jets — conceded (home)1.5
Wellington Phoenix — scored (away)1.31
Wellington Phoenix — conceded (away)1.92
Model expected combined goals3.47
Both Teams To Score
Yes66%
No34%
Rate per Team
Newcastle Jets — BTTS matches (home)71%
Wellington Phoenix — BTTS matches (away)62%
Combined (simple average)66.5%
Corners data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Per-Team Corners own matches
Newcastle Jets (home)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Wellington Phoenix (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
No recent match dataCorners statistics were not available for recent matches.
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Yellow Cards per Team
Newcastle Jets (home)
For—
Wellington Phoenix (away)
For—
Shots per Game
Newcastle Jets — total shots (home)—
Wellington Phoenix — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
Newcastle Jets — on target (home)—
Wellington Phoenix — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Newcastle Jets
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Wellington Phoenix
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.
Expected Goals (xG)
xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.
Average Possession
-%
Possession
-%
Team Comparison Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix
0%
Pass accuracy
0%
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix prediction and preview
Preview Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
A-League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights