Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix

Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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A-League 2026-10-31 04:00
Newcastle Jets
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
67%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-1
Wellington Phoenix
Away

Prediction Summary

1
53%
X
21%
2
26%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS Yes
66%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Newcastle Jets (Home)

Goals scored / match2.21
Goals conceded / match1.5
Over 2.5 rate36%
BTTS rate71%

Wellington Phoenix (Away)

Goals scored / match1.31
Goals conceded / match1.92
Over 2.5 rate8%
BTTS rate62%

Team Form last 5 matches

Newcastle Jets
DDWDD
Wellington Phoenix
LWLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

93% +0.5 85%
50% +1.5 38%
36% +2.5 8%
36% +3.5 0%
7% +4.5 0%
71% BTTS 62%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 67%. Model confidence is Medium.

Newcastle Jets averages 2.21 goals scored at home, while Wellington Phoenix averages 1.31 goals scored away.

Model Strength
67%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
53%
Draw
21%
Away Win
26%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS Yes
66%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Newcastle Jets 4 - 1 Wellington Phoenix Home
Dec 2025 Newcastle Jets(A) 3 - 1 Wellington Phoenix Home
Apr 2025 Newcastle Jets 1 - 2 Wellington Phoenix Away
Dec 2024 Newcastle Jets(A) 1 - 2 Wellington Phoenix Away
Apr 2024 Newcastle Jets 1 - 1 Wellington Phoenix Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Newcastle Jets won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Newcastle Jets — unbeaten run (home)3
Newcastle Jets — scoring streak (home)10
Wellington Phoenix — winless run (away)2
Wellington Phoenix — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Newcastle Jets Win (1)53%
Draw (X)21%
Wellington Phoenix Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

93% +0.5 85%
50% +1.5 38%
36% +2.5 8%
36% +3.5 0%
7% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

7% -0.5 15%
50% -1.5 62%
64% -2.5 92%
64% -3.5 100%
93% -4.5 100%

Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Newcastle Jets — scored (home)2.21
Newcastle Jets — conceded (home)1.5
Wellington Phoenix — scored (away)1.31
Wellington Phoenix — conceded (away)1.92
Model expected combined goals3.47

Both Teams To Score

Yes66%
No34%

Rate per Team

Newcastle Jets — BTTS matches (home)71%
Wellington Phoenix — BTTS matches (away)62%
Combined (simple average)66.5%
Corners data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.

Per-Team Corners own matches

Newcastle Jets (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Wellington Phoenix (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

No recent match dataCorners statistics were not available for recent matches.
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.

Yellow Cards per Team

Newcastle Jets (home)

For—

Wellington Phoenix (away)

For—

Shots per Game

Newcastle Jets — total shots (home)—
Wellington Phoenix — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Newcastle Jets — on target (home)—
Wellington Phoenix — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Newcastle Jets

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Wellington Phoenix

Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.

Average Possession

-% Possession -%

Team Comparison Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix

0% Pass accuracy 0%
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix prediction analysis

Review Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from A-League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance A-League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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