What markets are included in the Newcastle vs Athletic Club prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Newcastle vs Athletic Club prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Newcastle vs Athletic Club

Newcastle vs Athletic Club prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-11-05 20:00

Newcastle

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

58%

Confidence

Medium

Score

2-0

Athletic Club

Away

Prediction Summary

64%

20%

16%

Over 2.5

58%

BTTS Yes

53%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Newcastle (Home)

Goals scored / match2.17

Goals conceded / match0.83

Over 2.5 rate50%

BTTS rate50%

Athletic Club (Away)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match2

Over 2.5 rate25%

BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

Newcastle

LDWWD

Athletic Club

LWDDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 50%

67% +1.5 25%

50% +2.5 25%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

50% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Newcastle averages 2.17 goals scored at home, while Athletic Club averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength

64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

64%

Draw

20%

Away Win

16%

Over 2.5

58%

BTTS Yes

53%

Head-to-Head last 1

Nov 2025 Newcastle 2 - 0 Athletic Club Home

In the last 1 meetings, Newcastle won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Newcastle — unbeaten run (home)5

Newcastle — scoring streak (home)6

Athletic Club — winless run (away)0

Athletic Club — clean sheets (away, last 4)1 of 4

1X2 Probability model

Newcastle Win (1)64%

Draw (X)20%

Athletic Club Win (2)16%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 50%

67% +1.5 25%

50% +2.5 25%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 50%

33% -1.5 75%

50% -2.5 75%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Newcastle vs Athletic Club — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Newcastle — scored (home)2.17

Newcastle — conceded (home)0.83

Athletic Club — scored (away)1

Athletic Club — conceded (away)2

Model expected combined goals3

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%

No47%

Rate per Team

Newcastle — BTTS matches (home)50%

Athletic Club — BTTS matches (away)50%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.579%

Under 4.521%

Over 5.579%

Under 5.521%

Over 6.579%

Under 6.521%

Over 7.534%

Under 7.566%

Over 8.534%

Under 8.566%

Over 9.534%

Under 9.566%

Over 10.525%

Under 10.575%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Newcastle (home)

Corners for6.8

Corners against4.7

Athletic Club (away)

Corners for3.0

Corners against3.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Newcastle

6 14 15 13 8

Athletic Club

7 7 10 7 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.563%

Under 2.537%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Newcastle (home)

For1.2

Athletic Club (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Newcastle — total shots (home)13.8

Athletic Club — total shots (away)8.5

Shots on Target

Newcastle — on target (home)6.0

Athletic Club — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Newcastle

Inside the box11.17

Outside the box2.92

Athletic Club

Inside the box6.38

Outside the box4.25

Player Shots Newcastle

H. Barnes

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target92%

+1.5 On Target58%

A. Gordon

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target17%

D. Burn

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target18%

S. Tonali

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target9%

A. Elanga

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Athletic Club

Gorka Guruzeta

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target14%

Nico Serrano

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target20%

Robert Navarro

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target14%

Oihan Sancet

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target0%

A. Hierro

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Newcastle xG (home)2.18

Athletic Club xG (away)1.17

Average Possession

49% Possession 41%

Team Comparison Newcastle vs Athletic Club

81.42% Pass accuracy 74.63%

421.33 Passes per match 346.75

0.04 Goals prevented -0.44

9.67 Fouls committed 17.63

3.83 Goalkeeper saves 3

1.82 Offsides 0.75

14.25 Tackles per match 21.38

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Newcastle vs Athletic Club prediction analysis

Review Newcastle vs Athletic Club with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights