What markets are included in the Newcastle vs Burnley prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Newcastle vs Burnley prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Newcastle vs Burnley

Newcastle vs Burnley prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2025-12-06 15:00

Newcastle

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

72%

Confidence

High

Score

2-1

Burnley

Away

Prediction Summary

60%

19%

21%

Over 2.5

72%

BTTS Yes

67%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Newcastle (Home)

Goals scored / match1.89

Goals conceded / match1.58

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate79%

Burnley (Away)

Goals scored / match1.05

Goals conceded / match2.42

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate74%

Team Form last 5 matches

Newcastle

LWDWL

Burnley

DLDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 74%

74% +1.5 21%

16% +2.5 11%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

79% BTTS 74%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 72%. Model confidence is High.

Newcastle averages 1.89 goals scored at home, while Burnley averages 1.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength

72%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

60%

Draw

19%

Away Win

21%

Over 2.5

72%

BTTS Yes

67%

Head-to-Head last 5

Dec 2025 Newcastle(A) 3 - 1 Burnley Home

Dec 2025 Newcastle 2 - 1 Burnley Home

May 2024 Newcastle(A) 4 - 1 Burnley Home

Sep 2023 Newcastle 2 - 0 Burnley Home

May 2022 Newcastle(A) 2 - 1 Burnley Home

In the last 5 meetings, Newcastle won 5, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Newcastle — unbeaten run (home)2

Newcastle — scoring streak (home)7

Burnley — winless run (away)6

Burnley — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Newcastle Win (1)60%

Draw (X)19%

Burnley Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 74%

74% +1.5 21%

16% +2.5 11%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 26%

26% -1.5 79%

84% -2.5 89%

95% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Newcastle vs Burnley — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Newcastle — scored (home)1.89

Newcastle — conceded (home)1.58

Burnley — scored (away)1.05

Burnley — conceded (away)2.42

Model expected combined goals3.71

Both Teams To Score

Yes67%

No33%

Rate per Team

Newcastle — BTTS matches (home)79%

Burnley — BTTS matches (away)74%

Combined (simple average)76.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.587%

Under 6.513%

Over 7.582%

Under 7.518%

Over 8.569%

Under 8.531%

Over 9.561%

Under 9.539%

Over 10.548%

Under 10.552%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Newcastle (home)

Corners for6.7

Corners against4.9

Burnley (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against6.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Newcastle

9 12 3 10 12

Burnley

14 5 10 6 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Newcastle (home)

For1.6

Burnley (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Newcastle — total shots (home)14.3

Burnley — total shots (away)7.8

Shots on Target

Newcastle — on target (home)5.5

Burnley — on target (away)2.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Newcastle

Inside the box8.29

Outside the box4.66

Burnley

Inside the box5.68

Outside the box3.66

Player Shots Newcastle

Bruno Guimarães

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target59%

+1.5 On Target14%

A. Gordon

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target23%

H. Barnes

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target11%

W. Osula

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target13%

Joelinton

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target30%

+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Burnley

Z. Flemming

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target17%

J. Anthony

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target51%

+1.5 On Target8%

J. Cullen

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target6%

L. Tchaouna

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target3%

M. Edwards

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Newcastle xG (home)1.5

Burnley xG (away)0.86

Average Possession

52.61% Possession 42.29%

Team Comparison Newcastle vs Burnley

82.11% Pass accuracy 77.66%

449.63 Passes per match 384.82

0.04 Goals prevented -0.28

9.82 Fouls committed 10.39

3 Goalkeeper saves 3.73

1.48 Offsides 1.5

14.47 Tackles per match 16.76

League average xG this season is 1.4 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Newcastle vs Burnley prediction analysis

Review Newcastle vs Burnley with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights