What markets are included in the Newcastle vs Everton prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Newcastle vs Everton prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Newcastle vs Everton

Newcastle vs Everton prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2025-05-25 15:00

Newcastle

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

49%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Everton

Away

Prediction Summary

55%

24%

21%

Under 2.5

51%

BTTS · No edge

50%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Newcastle (Home)

Goals scored / match2.11

Goals conceded / match1.05

Over 2.5 rate42%

BTTS rate42%

Everton (Away)

Goals scored / match0.84

Goals conceded / match1.11

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate37%

Team Form last 5 matches

Newcastle

LLWDW

Everton

WWWDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 58%

58% +1.5 21%

42% +2.5 5%

21% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

42% BTTS 37%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Medium.

Newcastle averages 2.11 goals scored at home, while Everton averages 0.84 goals scored away.

Model Strength

55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

55%

Draw

24%

Away Win

21%

Over 2.5

49%

BTTS Yes

50%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Newcastle 2 - 3 Everton Away

Nov 2025 Newcastle(A) 4 - 1 Everton Home

May 2025 Newcastle 0 - 1 Everton Away

Oct 2024 Newcastle(A) 0 - 0 Everton Draw

Apr 2024 Newcastle 1 - 1 Everton Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Newcastle won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Newcastle — unbeaten run (home)0

Newcastle — scoring streak (home)0

Everton — winless run (away)0

Everton — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Newcastle Win (1)55%

Draw (X)24%

Everton Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 58%

58% +1.5 21%

42% +2.5 5%

21% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 42%

42% -1.5 79%

58% -2.5 95%

79% -3.5 100%

95% -4.5 100%

Newcastle vs Everton — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Newcastle — scored (home)2.11

Newcastle — conceded (home)1.05

Everton — scored (away)0.84

Everton — conceded (away)1.11

Model expected combined goals2.64

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%

No50%

Rate per Team

Newcastle — BTTS matches (home)42%

Everton — BTTS matches (away)37%

Combined (simple average)39.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.598%

Under 5.52%

Over 6.595%

Under 6.55%

Over 7.587%

Under 7.513%

Over 8.579%

Under 8.521%

Over 9.569%

Under 9.531%

Over 10.550%

Under 10.550%

Expected total corners (blended average)11.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Newcastle (home)

Corners for6.2

Corners against5.4

Everton (away)

Corners for3.9

Corners against6.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Newcastle

13 5 10 17 15

Everton

12 5 10 9 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.587%

Under 1.513%

Over 2.577%

Under 2.523%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Newcastle (home)

For2.1

Everton (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Newcastle — total shots (home)15.6

Everton — total shots (away)10.2

Shots on Target

Newcastle — on target (home)5.2

Everton — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Newcastle

Inside the box9.89

Outside the box3.92

Everton

Inside the box7.34

Outside the box3.34

Player Shots Newcastle

S. Botman

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target13%

A. Isak

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target71%

+1.5 On Target38%

J. Murphy

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target11%

H. Barnes

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target15%

Joelinton

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Everton

C. Alcaraz

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target13%

Beto

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target30%

J. O'Brien

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target10%

+1.5 On Target5%

D. Calvert-Lewin

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target19%

I. Ndiaye

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Newcastle xG (home)1.72

Everton xG (away)1.11

Average Possession

51.13% Possession 40.61%

Team Comparison Newcastle vs Everton

82.45% Pass accuracy 77.95%

451.79 Passes per match 351.29

-0.16 Goals prevented 0.05

10.37 Fouls committed 11.32

3.08 Goalkeeper saves 3.21

2.15 Offsides 2.31

15.87 Tackles per match 19.26

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Newcastle vs Everton prediction analysis

Review Newcastle vs Everton with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights