Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Newcastle vs Wolves

Newcastle vs Wolves prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Premier League 2025-01-15 19:30
Newcastle
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
63%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Wolves
Away

Prediction Summary

1
52%
X
22%
2
26%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
62%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Newcastle (Home)

Goals scored / match2.11
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate42%
BTTS rate42%

Wolves (Away)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.95
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Newcastle
LLWDW
Wolves
DLLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 79%
58% +1.5 42%
42% +2.5 16%
21% +3.5 5%
5% +4.5 0%
42% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 63%. Model confidence is Medium.

Newcastle averages 2.11 goals scored at home, while Wolves averages 1.42 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
52%
Draw
22%
Away Win
26%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
62%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Newcastle(A) 0 - 0 Wolves Draw
Sep 2025 Newcastle 1 - 0 Wolves Home
Jan 2025 Newcastle 3 - 0 Wolves Home
Sep 2024 Newcastle(A) 2 - 1 Wolves Home
Mar 2024 Newcastle 3 - 0 Wolves Home

In the last 5 meetings, Newcastle won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Newcastle — unbeaten run (home)0
Newcastle — scoring streak (home)0
Wolves — winless run (away)2
Wolves — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Newcastle Win (1)52%
Draw (X)22%
Wolves Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 79%
58% +1.5 42%
42% +2.5 16%
21% +3.5 5%
5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 21%
42% -1.5 58%
58% -2.5 84%
79% -3.5 95%
95% -4.5 100%

Newcastle vs Wolves — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Newcastle — scored (home)2.11
Newcastle — conceded (home)1.05
Wolves — scored (away)1.42
Wolves — conceded (away)1.95
Model expected combined goals3.23

Both Teams To Score

Yes62%
No38%

Rate per Team

Newcastle — BTTS matches (home)42%
Wolves — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.592%
Under 6.58%
Over 7.582%
Under 7.518%
Over 8.582%
Under 8.518%
Over 9.564%
Under 9.536%
Over 10.548%
Under 10.552%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Newcastle (home)

Corners for6.2
Corners against5.4

Wolves (away)

Corners for3.9
Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Newcastle
13 5 10 17 15
Wolves
6 9 11 9 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Newcastle (home)

For2.1

Wolves (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Newcastle — total shots (home)15.6
Wolves — total shots (away)11.3

Shots on Target

Newcastle — on target (home)5.2
Wolves — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Newcastle

Inside the box9.89
Outside the box3.92

Wolves

Inside the box7.05
Outside the box4.29

Player Shots Newcastle

S. Botman
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target13%
A. Isak
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target38%
J. Murphy
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target11%
H. Barnes
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target15%
Joelinton
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Wolves

Matheus Cunha
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target79%
+1.5 On Target39%
S. Bueno
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target3%
Toti Gomes
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target3%
J. Strand Larsen
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target26%
M. Lemina
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Newcastle xG (home)1.72
Wolves xG (away)1.17

Average Possession

51.13% Possession 48.08%

Team Comparison Newcastle vs Wolves

82.45% Pass accuracy 82.05%
451.79 Passes per match 431.18
-0.16 Goals prevented -0.3
10.37 Fouls committed 12.63
3.08 Goalkeeper saves 2.68
2.15 Offsides 1.68
15.87 Tackles per match 21.13

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Newcastle vs Wolves prediction analysis

Review Newcastle vs Wolves with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top