Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Nice vs Benfica

Nice vs Benfica prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-08-06 19:00
Nice
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
30%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Benfica
Away

Prediction Summary

1
16%
X
28%
2
56%
Under 2.5
70%
BTTS No
68%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Nice (Home)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Benfica (Away)

Goals scored / match0.71
Goals conceded / match1.14
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate14%

Team Form last 5 matches

Nice
LL
Benfica
LLWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 43%
0% +1.5 29%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 14%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 30%. Model confidence is Medium.

Nice averages 0 goals scored at home, while Benfica averages 0.71 goals scored away.

Model Strength
70%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
16%
Draw
28%
Away Win
56%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Yes
32%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2025 Nice(A) 0 - 2 Benfica Away
Aug 2025 Nice 0 - 2 Benfica Away

In the last 2 meetings, Nice won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Nice — unbeaten run (home)0
Nice — scoring streak (home)0
Benfica — winless run (away)2
Benfica — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Nice Win (1)16%
Draw (X)28%
Benfica Win (2)56%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 43%
0% +1.5 29%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 57%
100% -1.5 71%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Nice vs Benfica — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Nice — scored (home)0
Nice — conceded (home)2
Benfica — scored (away)0.71
Benfica — conceded (away)1.14
Model expected combined goals1.93

Both Teams To Score

Yes32%
No68%

Rate per Team

Nice — BTTS matches (home)0%
Benfica — BTTS matches (away)14%
Combined (simple average)7%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.5100%
Under 6.50%
Over 7.5100%
Under 7.50%
Over 8.586%
Under 8.514%
Over 9.529%
Under 9.571%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Nice (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Benfica (away)

Corners for5.7
Corners against5.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Nice
9 12
Benfica
8 11 11 9 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Nice (home)

For—

Benfica (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Nice — total shots (home)—
Benfica — total shots (away)11.0

Shots on Target

Nice — on target (home)—
Benfica — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Nice

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Benfica

Inside the box8.71
Outside the box5.07

Player Shots Nice

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Benfica

D. Lukebakio
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target50%
K. Aktürkoğlu
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
R. Rios
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target0%
V. Pavlidis
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target21%
A. Schjelderup
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Nice xG (home)-
Benfica xG (away)1.43

Average Possession

-% Possession 47.07%

Team Comparison Nice vs Benfica

0% Pass accuracy 83.07%
- Passes per match 434.5
- Goals prevented -0.14
- Fouls committed 10.5
- Goalkeeper saves 3.07
- Offsides 1.46
13.5 Tackles per match 17.29

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Nice vs Benfica prediction analysis

Review Nice vs Benfica with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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