Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Nice vs Le Mans

Nice vs Le Mans prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2026-09-05 15:00
Nice
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
54%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Le Mans
Away

Prediction Summary

1
38%
X
25%
2
37%
+2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Nice (Home)

Goals scored / match1.28
Goals conceded / match1.56
Over 2.5 rate22%
BTTS rate56%

Le Mans (Away)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

Nice
WDDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

67% +0.5 0%
33% +1.5 0%
22% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
56% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Medium.

Nice averages 1.28 goals scored at home, while Le Mans averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
38%
Draw
25%
Away Win
37%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
57%

Head-to-Head last 0

No head-to-head historyThese two teams have no finished match on record against each other.

Current Streaks

Nice — unbeaten run (home)4
Nice — scoring streak (home)1

1X2 Probability model

Nice Win (1)38%
Draw (X)25%
Le Mans Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

67% +0.5 0%
33% +1.5 0%
22% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

33% -0.5 100%
67% -1.5 100%
78% -2.5 100%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Nice vs Le Mans — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Nice — scored (home)1.28
Nice — conceded (home)1.56
Le Mans — scored (away)0
Le Mans — conceded (away)0
Model expected combined goals2.83

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%
No43%

Rate per Team

Nice — BTTS matches (home)56%
Le Mans — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)28%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Nice (home)

Corners for5.6
Corners against5.7

Le Mans (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Nice
15 11 14 12 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.550%
Under 1.550%
Over 2.534%
Under 2.566%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Nice (home)

For1.9

Le Mans (away)

For—

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.573%
Under 19.527%
Over 22.560%
Under 22.540%
Over 25.546%
Under 25.554%
Expected total shots25.60

Nice

Shots Over 9.578%
Shots Over 11.564%
Shots Over 13.549%
Expected shots13.87
On Target Over 3.567%
On Target Over 4.551%
On Target Over 5.537%
Expected on target4.90

Le Mans

Shots Over 9.565%
Shots Over 11.548%
Shots Over 13.533%
Expected shots11.74
On Target Over 3.556%
On Target Over 4.539%
On Target Over 5.525%
Expected on target4.13

Shots per Game

Nice — total shots (home)13.4
Le Mans — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Nice — on target (home)4.7
Le Mans — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Nice

Inside the box7.33
Outside the box3.94

Le Mans

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Player Shots Nice

E. Wahi
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target40%
T. Moffi
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Cho
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target12%
S. Diop
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target3%
I. Jansson
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Le Mans

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Nice xG (home)1.28
Le Mans xG (away)-

Average Possession

46.69% Possession -%

Team Comparison Nice vs Le Mans

81.86% Pass accuracy 0%
418.14 Passes per match -
-0.02 Goals prevented -
12.14 Fouls committed -
3.31 Goalkeeper saves -
2 Offsides -
15.83 Tackles per match -

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Nice vs Le Mans prediction analysis

Review Nice vs Le Mans with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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