What markets are included in the Nice vs Lille prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Nice vs Lille prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Nice vs Lille

Nice vs Lille prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2026-09-19 15:00

Nice

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

54%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Lille

Away

Prediction Summary

29%

25%

46%

+2.5 Goals

54%

BTTS

56%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Nice (Home)

Goals scored / match1.28

Goals conceded / match1.56

Over 2.5 rate22%

BTTS rate56%

Lille (Away)

Goals scored / match1.65

Goals conceded / match1.18

Over 2.5 rate24%

BTTS rate29%

Team Form last 5 matches

Nice

WDDLD

Lille

LWDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

67% +0.5 65%

33% +1.5 41%

22% +2.5 24%

6% +3.5 18%

0% +4.5 6%

56% BTTS 29%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Medium.

Nice averages 1.28 goals scored at home, while Lille averages 1.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength

56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

29%

Draw

25%

Away Win

46%

Over 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

56%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Nice(A) 0 - 0 Lille Draw

Oct 2025 Nice 2 - 0 Lille Home

Jan 2025 Nice(A) 1 - 2 Lille Away

Nov 2024 Nice 2 - 2 Lille Draw

May 2024 Nice(A) 2 - 2 Lille Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Nice won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Nice — unbeaten run (home)4

Nice — scoring streak (home)1

Lille — winless run (away)0

Lille — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Nice Win (1)29%

Draw (X)25%

Lille Win (2)46%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

67% +0.5 65%

33% +1.5 41%

22% +2.5 24%

6% +3.5 18%

0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

33% -0.5 35%

67% -1.5 59%

78% -2.5 76%

94% -3.5 82%

100% -4.5 94%

Nice vs Lille — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Nice — scored (home)1.28

Nice — conceded (home)1.56

Lille — scored (away)1.65

Lille — conceded (away)1.18

Model expected combined goals2.83

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%

No44%

Rate per Team

Nice — BTTS matches (home)56%

Lille — BTTS matches (away)29%

Combined (simple average)42.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.557%

Under 8.543%

Over 9.546%

Under 9.554%

Over 10.537%

Under 10.563%

Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Nice (home)

Corners for5.6

Corners against5.7

Lille (away)

Corners for5.1

Corners against4.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Nice

15 11 14 12 10

Lille

8 10 19 7 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.597%

Under 1.53%

Over 2.575%

Under 2.525%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Nice (home)

For1.9

Lille (away)

For2.5

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.570%

Under 19.530%

Over 22.556%

Under 22.544%

Over 25.543%

Under 25.557%

Expected total shots24.73

Nice

Shots Over 9.571%

Shots Over 11.555%

Shots Over 13.539%

Expected shots12.62

On Target Over 3.562%

On Target Over 4.546%

On Target Over 5.531%

Expected on target4.54

Lille

Shots Over 9.567%

Shots Over 11.551%

Shots Over 13.535%

Expected shots12.11

On Target Over 3.558%

On Target Over 4.541%

On Target Over 5.527%

Expected on target4.26

Shots per Game

Nice — total shots (home)13.4

Lille — total shots (away)12.5

Shots on Target

Nice — on target (home)4.7

Lille — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Nice

Inside the box7.33

Outside the box3.94

Lille

Inside the box9.56

Outside the box4.06

Player Shots Nice

E. Wahi

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target40%

T. Moffi

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target10%

M. Cho

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target12%

S. Diop

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target3%

I. Jansson

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Lille

M. Fernandez-Pardo

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target31%

H. Igamane

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target15%

O. Giroud

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target10%

H. Haraldsson

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target13%

S. Diaoune

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Nice xG (home)1.28

Lille xG (away)1.63

Average Possession

46.69% Possession 55.85%

Team Comparison Nice vs Lille

81.86% Pass accuracy 85.09%

418.14 Passes per match 496.88

-0.02 Goals prevented 0.2

12.14 Fouls committed 10.88

3.31 Goalkeeper saves 2.24

2 Offsides 1.47

15.83 Tackles per match 15.15

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Nice vs Lille prediction analysis

Review Nice vs Lille with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights