What markets are included in the Nice vs Lorient prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Nice vs Lorient prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Nice vs Lorient

Nice vs Lorient prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2026-08-22 15:00

Nice

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

50%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Lorient

Away

Prediction Summary

40%

26%

34%

+2.5 Goals

50%

BTTS

54%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Nice (Home)

Goals scored / match1.28

Goals conceded / match1.56

Over 2.5 rate22%

BTTS rate56%

Lorient (Away)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match1.53

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

Nice

WDDLD

Lorient

LWDLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

67% +0.5 47%

33% +1.5 29%

22% +2.5 18%

6% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

56% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.

Nice averages 1.28 goals scored at home, while Lorient averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength

54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

40%

Draw

26%

Away Win

34%

Over 2.5

50%

BTTS Yes

54%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Nice 3 - 3 Lorient Draw

Nov 2025 Nice(A) 1 - 3 Lorient Away

Apr 2024 Nice 3 - 0 Lorient Home

Aug 2023 Nice(A) 1 - 1 Lorient Draw

Mar 2023 Nice 1 - 1 Lorient Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Nice won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Nice — unbeaten run (home)4

Nice — scoring streak (home)1

Lorient — winless run (away)0

Lorient — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Nice Win (1)40%

Draw (X)26%

Lorient Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

67% +0.5 47%

33% +1.5 29%

22% +2.5 18%

6% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

33% -0.5 53%

67% -1.5 71%

78% -2.5 82%

94% -3.5 94%

100% -4.5 100%

Nice vs Lorient — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Nice — scored (home)1.28

Nice — conceded (home)1.56

Lorient — scored (away)1

Lorient — conceded (away)1.53

Model expected combined goals2.68

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%

No46%

Rate per Team

Nice — BTTS matches (home)56%

Lorient — BTTS matches (away)35%

Combined (simple average)45.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.557%

Under 8.543%

Over 9.546%

Under 9.554%

Over 10.537%

Under 10.563%

Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Nice (home)

Corners for5.6

Corners against5.7

Lorient (away)

Corners for3.8

Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Nice

15 11 14 12 10

Lorient

8 16 14 11 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.563%

Under 2.537%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Nice (home)

For1.9

Lorient (away)

For1.6

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.572%

Under 19.528%

Over 22.559%

Under 22.541%

Over 25.545%

Under 25.555%

Expected total shots25.30

Nice

Shots Over 9.577%

Shots Over 11.563%

Shots Over 13.548%

Expected shots13.81

On Target Over 3.566%

On Target Over 4.550%

On Target Over 5.536%

Expected on target4.82

Lorient

Shots Over 9.563%

Shots Over 11.546%

Shots Over 13.531%

Expected shots11.48

On Target Over 3.554%

On Target Over 4.537%

On Target Over 5.523%

Expected on target3.99

Shots per Game

Nice — total shots (home)13.4

Lorient — total shots (away)10.7

Shots on Target

Nice — on target (home)4.7

Lorient — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Nice

Inside the box7.33

Outside the box3.94

Lorient

Inside the box7.12

Outside the box4.21

Player Shots Nice

E. Wahi

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target40%

T. Moffi

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target10%

M. Cho

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target12%

S. Diop

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target3%

I. Jansson

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Lorient

B. Dieng

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target32%

P. Pagis

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target11%

J. Makengo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target6%

A. Tosin

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target11%

M. Bamba

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Nice xG (home)1.28

Lorient xG (away)1.34

Average Possession

46.69% Possession 45.35%

Team Comparison Nice vs Lorient

81.86% Pass accuracy 83.94%

418.14 Passes per match 427.03

-0.02 Goals prevented -0.3

12.14 Fouls committed 9.59

3.31 Goalkeeper saves 2.47

2 Offsides 1.72

15.83 Tackles per match 13.68

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Nice vs Lorient prediction analysis

Review Nice vs Lorient with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights