What markets are included in the Nice vs Marseille prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Nice vs Marseille prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Nice vs Marseille

Nice vs Marseille prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-11-21 19:45

Nice

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

39%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Marseille

Away

Prediction Summary

42%

28%

30%

Under 2.5

61%

BTTS No

55%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Nice (Home)

Goals scored / match1.28

Goals conceded / match1.56

Over 2.5 rate22%

BTTS rate56%

Marseille (Away)

Goals scored / match1.29

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

Nice

WDDLD

Marseille

WWLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

67% +0.5 59%

33% +1.5 29%

22% +2.5 18%

6% +3.5 12%

0% +4.5 12%

56% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 39%. Model confidence is Medium.

Nice averages 1.28 goals scored at home, while Marseille averages 1.29 goals scored away.

Model Strength

61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

42%

Draw

28%

Away Win

30%

Over 2.5

39%

BTTS Yes

45%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Nice(A) 1 - 1 Marseille Draw

Nov 2025 Nice 1 - 5 Marseille Away

Jan 2025 Nice 2 - 0 Marseille Home

Sep 2024 Nice(A) 0 - 2 Marseille Away

Apr 2024 Nice(A) 2 - 2 Marseille Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Nice won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Nice — unbeaten run (home)4

Nice — scoring streak (home)1

Marseille — winless run (away)0

Marseille — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Nice Win (1)42%

Draw (X)28%

Marseille Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

67% +0.5 59%

33% +1.5 29%

22% +2.5 18%

6% +3.5 12%

0% +4.5 12%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

33% -0.5 41%

67% -1.5 71%

78% -2.5 82%

94% -3.5 88%

100% -4.5 88%

Nice vs Marseille — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Nice — scored (home)1.28

Nice — conceded (home)1.56

Marseille — scored (away)1.29

Marseille — conceded (away)1.47

Model expected combined goals2.25

Both Teams To Score

Yes45%

No55%

Rate per Team

Nice — BTTS matches (home)56%

Marseille — BTTS matches (away)35%

Combined (simple average)45.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.591%

Under 5.59%

Over 6.585%

Under 6.515%

Over 7.574%

Under 7.526%

Over 8.557%

Under 8.543%

Over 9.551%

Under 9.549%

Over 10.543%

Under 10.557%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Nice (home)

Corners for5.6

Corners against5.7

Marseille (away)

Corners for4.8

Corners against4.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Nice

15 11 14 12 10

Marseille

8 8 15 3 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.597%

Under 1.53%

Over 2.575%

Under 2.525%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Nice (home)

For1.9

Marseille (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Nice — total shots (home)13.4

Marseille — total shots (away)14.4

Shots on Target

Nice — on target (home)4.7

Marseille — on target (away)5.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Nice

Inside the box7.33

Outside the box3.94

Marseille

Inside the box9.62

Outside the box5.47

Player Shots Nice

E. Wahi

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target40%

T. Moffi

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target10%

M. Cho

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target12%

S. Diop

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target3%

I. Jansson

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Marseille

M. Greenwood

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target81%

+1.5 On Target41%

P. Aubameyang

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target30%

A. Gouiri

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target14%

Igor Paixão

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target13%

H. Traorè

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Nice xG (home)1.28

Marseille xG (away)1.81

Average Possession

46.69% Possession 56.94%

Team Comparison Nice vs Marseille

81.86% Pass accuracy 87.15%

418.14 Passes per match 540.71

-0.02 Goals prevented -0.27

12.14 Fouls committed 12.71

3.31 Goalkeeper saves 2.62

2 Offsides 1.24

15.83 Tackles per match 14.91

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Nice vs Marseille prediction analysis

Review Nice vs Marseille with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights