What markets are included in the Nice vs Montpellier prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Nice vs Montpellier prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Nice vs Montpellier

Nice vs Montpellier prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-02-23 16:15

Nice

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

60%

Confidence

High

Score

2-0

Montpellier

Away

Prediction Summary

75%

16%

Over 2.5

60%

BTTS No

54%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Nice (Home)

Goals scored / match2.24

Goals conceded / match0.88

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate59%

Montpellier (Away)

Goals scored / match0.35

Goals conceded / match2.24

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate24%

Team Form last 5 matches

Nice

WLWWW

Montpellier

LLLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 24%

65% +1.5 12%

18% +2.5 0%

12% +3.5 0%

12% +4.5 0%

59% BTTS 24%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is High.

Nice averages 2.24 goals scored at home, while Montpellier averages 0.35 goals scored away.

Model Strength

75%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

75%

Draw

16%

Away Win

Over 2.5

60%

BTTS Yes

46%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Nice 3 - 2 Montpellier Home

Feb 2025 Nice 2 - 0 Montpellier Home

Dec 2024 Nice(A) 2 - 2 Montpellier Draw

Mar 2024 Nice 1 - 2 Montpellier Away

Feb 2024 Nice(A) 4 - 1 Montpellier Home

In the last 5 meetings, Nice won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Nice — unbeaten run (home)3

Nice — scoring streak (home)5

Montpellier — winless run (away)8

Montpellier — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Nice Win (1)75%

Draw (X)16%

Montpellier Win (2)9%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 24%

65% +1.5 12%

18% +2.5 0%

12% +3.5 0%

12% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 76%

35% -1.5 88%

82% -2.5 100%

88% -3.5 100%

88% -4.5 100%

Nice vs Montpellier — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Nice — scored (home)2.24

Nice — conceded (home)0.88

Montpellier — scored (away)0.35

Montpellier — conceded (away)2.24

Model expected combined goals3.1

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%

No54%

Rate per Team

Nice — BTTS matches (home)59%

Montpellier — BTTS matches (away)24%

Combined (simple average)41.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.597%

Under 5.53%

Over 6.591%

Under 6.59%

Over 7.582%

Under 7.518%

Over 8.556%

Under 8.544%

Over 9.547%

Under 9.553%

Over 10.538%

Under 10.562%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Nice (home)

Corners for5.8

Corners against4.8

Montpellier (away)

Corners for4.0

Corners against5.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Nice

6 17 8 6 7

Montpellier

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.597%

Under 1.53%

Over 2.577%

Under 2.523%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Nice (home)

For1.5

Montpellier (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Nice — total shots (home)15.6

Montpellier — total shots (away)9.8

Shots on Target

Nice — on target (home)6.2

Montpellier — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Nice

Inside the box10.32

Outside the box4.12

Montpellier

Inside the box6.24

Outside the box4.79

Player Shots Nice

T. Moffi

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target20%

T. Louchet

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target5%

Y. Moukoko

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target9%

J. Boga

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target33%

G. Laborde

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target25%

Player Shots Montpellier

A. Delort

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target22%

A. Adams

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target20%

O. Maamma

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target8%

A. Nordin

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target25%

T. Savanier

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target16%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Nice xG (home)1.83

Montpellier xG (away)1.02

Average Possession

47.5% Possession 44.97%

Team Comparison Nice vs Montpellier

83.24% Pass accuracy 80.53%

432.74 Passes per match 388.79

0.13 Goals prevented -0.1

11.5 Fouls committed 12.56

3.56 Goalkeeper saves 3.5

1.93 Offsides 2.1

18.65 Tackles per match 19

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Nice vs Montpellier prediction analysis

Review Nice vs Montpellier with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights