Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Nice vs Nantes

Nice vs Nantes prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-04-04 18:45
Nice
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
62%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-1
Nantes
Away

Prediction Summary

1
63%
X
20%
2
17%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Nice (Home)

Goals scored / match2.24
Goals conceded / match0.88
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate59%

Nantes (Away)

Goals scored / match1.18
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate82%

Team Form last 5 matches

Nice
WLWWW
Nantes
WDLDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 82%
65% +1.5 29%
18% +2.5 6%
12% +3.5 0%
12% +4.5 0%
59% BTTS 82%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 62%. Model confidence is Medium.

Nice averages 2.24 goals scored at home, while Nantes averages 1.18 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
63%
Draw
20%
Away Win
17%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
57%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Nice(A) 4 - 1 Nantes Home
Jan 2026 Nice(A) 1 - 1 Nantes Draw
Sep 2025 Nice 1 - 0 Nantes Home
Apr 2025 Nice 1 - 2 Nantes Away
Oct 2024 Nice(A) 1 - 1 Nantes Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Nice won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Nice — unbeaten run (home)3
Nice — scoring streak (home)5
Nantes — winless run (away)2
Nantes — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Nice Win (1)63%
Draw (X)20%
Nantes Win (2)17%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 82%
65% +1.5 29%
18% +2.5 6%
12% +3.5 0%
12% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 18%
35% -1.5 71%
82% -2.5 94%
88% -3.5 100%
88% -4.5 100%

Nice vs Nantes — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Nice — scored (home)2.24
Nice — conceded (home)0.88
Nantes — scored (away)1.18
Nantes — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals3.18

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%
No43%

Rate per Team

Nice — BTTS matches (home)59%
Nantes — BTTS matches (away)82%
Combined (simple average)70.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.559%
Under 9.541%
Over 10.547%
Under 10.553%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Nice (home)

Corners for5.8
Corners against4.8

Nantes (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Nice
6 17 8 6 7
Nantes
8 8 10 10 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Nice (home)

For1.5

Nantes (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Nice — total shots (home)15.6
Nantes — total shots (away)8.4

Shots on Target

Nice — on target (home)6.2
Nantes — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Nice

Inside the box10.32
Outside the box4.12

Nantes

Inside the box7.62
Outside the box2.68

Player Shots Nice

T. Moffi
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
T. Louchet
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target9%
+1.5 On Target5%
Y. Moukoko
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target9%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Boga
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target33%
G. Laborde
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target25%

Player Shots Nantes

Mostafa Mohamed
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target13%
M. Abline
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target18%
Bahereba Guirassy
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target5%
Douglas Augusto
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
Louis Leroux
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Nice xG (home)1.83
Nantes xG (away)1.17

Average Possession

47.5% Possession 39.97%

Team Comparison Nice vs Nantes

83.24% Pass accuracy 79.53%
432.74 Passes per match 367.76
0.13 Goals prevented 0.06
11.5 Fouls committed 12.12
3.56 Goalkeeper saves 2.94
1.93 Offsides 1.11
18.65 Tackles per match 18.91

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Nice vs Nantes prediction analysis

Review Nice vs Nantes with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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