Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Nice vs Real Sociedad

Nice vs Real Sociedad prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2024-09-25 19:00
Nice
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
64%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Real Sociedad
Away

Prediction Summary

1
38%
X
23%
2
39%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS Yes
65%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Nice (Home)

Goals scored / match1.25
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate100%

Real Sociedad (Away)

Goals scored / match1.33
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate100%

Team Form last 5 matches

Nice
DLLLD
Real Sociedad
LDWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 100%
25% +1.5 33%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
100% BTTS 100%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 64%. Model confidence is Medium.

Nice averages 1.25 goals scored at home, while Real Sociedad averages 1.33 goals scored away.

Model Strength
65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
38%
Draw
23%
Away Win
39%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS Yes
65%

Head-to-Head last 1

Sep 2024 Nice 1 - 1 Real Sociedad Draw

In the last 1 meetings, Nice won 0, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Nice — unbeaten run (home)1
Nice — scoring streak (home)4
Real Sociedad — winless run (away)1
Real Sociedad — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Nice Win (1)38%
Draw (X)23%
Real Sociedad Win (2)39%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 100%
25% +1.5 33%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 0%
75% -1.5 67%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Nice vs Real Sociedad — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Nice — scored (home)1.25
Nice — conceded (home)2
Real Sociedad — scored (away)1.33
Real Sociedad — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals3.29

Both Teams To Score

Yes65%
No35%

Rate per Team

Nice — BTTS matches (home)100%
Real Sociedad — BTTS matches (away)100%
Combined (simple average)100%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.592%
Under 6.58%
Over 7.592%
Under 7.58%
Over 8.584%
Under 8.516%
Over 9.542%
Under 9.558%
Over 10.534%
Under 10.566%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Nice (home)

Corners for6.0
Corners against4.5

Real Sociedad (away)

Corners for4.0
Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Nice
11 9 11 13 13
Real Sociedad
8 11 13 8 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.5100%
Under 2.50%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Nice (home)

For2.8

Real Sociedad (away)

For4.0

Shots per Game

Nice — total shots (home)14.5
Real Sociedad — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

Nice — on target (home)4.5
Real Sociedad — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Nice

Inside the box7.63
Outside the box7.38

Real Sociedad

Inside the box9.75
Outside the box4.58

Player Shots Nice

T. Louchet
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target29%
B. Bouanani
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target25%
E. Guessand
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target86%
+1.5 On Target14%
H. Boudaoui
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target0%
J. Boga
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Real Sociedad

Jon Ander Olasagasti
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target17%
Mikel Oyarzabal
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
L. Sučić
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target17%
U. Sadiq
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
S. Becker
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target20%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Nice xG (home)1.21
Real Sociedad xG (away)1.86

Average Possession

54.5% Possession 51%

Team Comparison Nice vs Real Sociedad

82.63% Pass accuracy 80.58%
473 Passes per match 440.17
0.28 Goals prevented -0.1
8 Fouls committed 13.42
3.63 Goalkeeper saves 2.58
1.5 Offsides 1.27
18.25 Tackles per match 17.58

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Nice vs Real Sociedad prediction analysis

Review Nice vs Real Sociedad with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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