Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Nice vs Strasbourg

Nice vs Strasbourg prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2026-10-10 15:00
Nice
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Strasbourg
Away

Prediction Summary

1
35%
X
24%
2
41%
+2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Nice (Home)

Goals scored / match1.28
Goals conceded / match1.56
Over 2.5 rate22%
BTTS rate56%

Strasbourg (Away)

Goals scored / match1.65
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate76%

Team Form last 5 matches

Nice
WDDLD
Strasbourg
WWDLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

67% +0.5 82%
33% +1.5 47%
22% +2.5 29%
6% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
56% BTTS 76%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.

Nice averages 1.28 goals scored at home, while Strasbourg averages 1.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
35%
Draw
24%
Away Win
41%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
61%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Nice(A) 1 - 3 Strasbourg Away
Jan 2026 Nice 1 - 1 Strasbourg Draw
Apr 2025 Nice(A) 2 - 2 Strasbourg Draw
Nov 2024 Nice 2 - 1 Strasbourg Home
Apr 2024 Nice(A) 3 - 1 Strasbourg Home

In the last 5 meetings, Nice won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Nice — unbeaten run (home)4
Nice — scoring streak (home)1
Strasbourg — winless run (away)0
Strasbourg — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Nice Win (1)35%
Draw (X)24%
Strasbourg Win (2)41%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

67% +0.5 82%
33% +1.5 47%
22% +2.5 29%
6% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

33% -0.5 18%
67% -1.5 53%
78% -2.5 71%
94% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

Nice vs Strasbourg — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Nice — scored (home)1.28
Nice — conceded (home)1.56
Strasbourg — scored (away)1.65
Strasbourg — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals3.06

Both Teams To Score

Yes61%
No39%

Rate per Team

Nice — BTTS matches (home)56%
Strasbourg — BTTS matches (away)76%
Combined (simple average)66%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Nice (home)

Corners for5.6
Corners against5.7

Strasbourg (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Nice
15 11 14 12 10
Strasbourg
16 11 2 9 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.578%
Under 2.522%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Nice (home)

For1.9

Strasbourg (away)

For2.2

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.572%
Under 19.528%
Over 22.558%
Under 22.542%
Over 25.544%
Under 25.556%
Expected total shots25.10

Nice

Shots Over 9.576%
Shots Over 11.562%
Shots Over 13.547%
Expected shots13.60
On Target Over 3.568%
On Target Over 4.552%
On Target Over 5.537%
Expected on target4.94

Strasbourg

Shots Over 9.563%
Shots Over 11.546%
Shots Over 13.531%
Expected shots11.49
On Target Over 3.556%
On Target Over 4.539%
On Target Over 5.526%
Expected on target4.14

Shots per Game

Nice — total shots (home)13.4
Strasbourg — total shots (away)10.9

Shots on Target

Nice — on target (home)4.7
Strasbourg — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Nice

Inside the box7.33
Outside the box3.94

Strasbourg

Inside the box7.94
Outside the box3.53

Player Shots Nice

E. Wahi
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target40%
T. Moffi
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Cho
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target12%
S. Diop
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target3%
I. Jansson
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Strasbourg

J. Panichelli
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target22%
J. Enciso
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Emegha
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target40%
M. Godo
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%
S. Nanasi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Nice xG (home)1.28
Strasbourg xG (away)1.59

Average Possession

46.69% Possession 53.74%

Team Comparison Nice vs Strasbourg

81.86% Pass accuracy 87.5%
418.14 Passes per match 518.29
-0.02 Goals prevented 0.04
12.14 Fouls committed 11.26
3.31 Goalkeeper saves 3.24
2 Offsides 1.94
15.83 Tackles per match 16.15

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Nice vs Strasbourg prediction analysis

Review Nice vs Strasbourg with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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