Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Norwich vs Charlton

Norwich vs Charlton prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-12-26 15:00
Norwich
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
44%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Charlton
Away

Prediction Summary

1
37%
X
27%
2
36%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS · No edge
50%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Norwich (Home)

Goals scored / match1.17
Goals conceded / match1.22
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate57%

Charlton (Away)

Goals scored / match0.91
Goals conceded / match1.39
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate57%

Team Form last 5 matches

Norwich
LDWWL
Charlton
LWLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 74%
39% +1.5 13%
4% +2.5 4%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
57% BTTS 57%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.

Norwich averages 1.17 goals scored at home, while Charlton averages 0.91 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
37%
Draw
27%
Away Win
36%
Over 2.5
44%
BTTS Yes
50%

Head-to-Head last 3

Mar 2026 Norwich(A) 1 - 0 Charlton Home
Dec 2025 Norwich 1 - 0 Charlton Home
Jan 2022 Norwich(A) 1 - 0 Charlton Home

In the last 3 meetings, Norwich won 3, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Norwich — unbeaten run (home)2
Norwich — scoring streak (home)2
Charlton — winless run (away)4
Charlton — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Norwich Win (1)37%
Draw (X)27%
Charlton Win (2)36%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 74%
39% +1.5 13%
4% +2.5 4%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 26%
61% -1.5 87%
96% -2.5 96%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Norwich vs Charlton — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Norwich — scored (home)1.17
Norwich — conceded (home)1.22
Charlton — scored (away)0.91
Charlton — conceded (away)1.39
Model expected combined goals2.44

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%
No50%

Rate per Team

Norwich — BTTS matches (home)57%
Charlton — BTTS matches (away)57%
Combined (simple average)57%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.591%
Under 6.59%
Over 7.572%
Under 7.528%
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Norwich (home)

Corners for5.7
Corners against4.2

Charlton (away)

Corners for3.2
Corners against6.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Norwich
14 12 7 7 8
Charlton
11 9 5 16 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.596%
Under 0.54%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.566%
Under 2.534%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Norwich (home)

For1.6

Charlton (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Norwich — total shots (home)13.7
Charlton — total shots (away)9.2

Shots on Target

Norwich — on target (home)4.4
Charlton — on target (away)3.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Norwich

Inside the box8
Outside the box4.57

Charlton

Inside the box7.54
Outside the box3.46

Player Shots Norwich

M. Touré
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target36%
A. Ben Slimane
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target27%
J. Sargent
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target22%
J. Makama
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target14%
P. Maghoma
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target21%

Player Shots Charlton

S. Carey
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target15%
C. Kelman
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target12%
L. Dykes
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Godden
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Fevrier
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Norwich xG (home)1.32
Charlton xG (away)1.03

Average Possession

53.63% Possession 42.3%

Team Comparison Norwich vs Charlton

79.24% Pass accuracy 70.28%
435.28 Passes per match 315.15
0.13 Goals prevented -0.07
10.2 Fouls committed 12.09
2.61 Goalkeeper saves 3.04
1.93 Offsides 2.15
16.72 Tackles per match 13.59

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Norwich vs Charlton prediction analysis

Review Norwich vs Charlton with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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