Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Norwich vs Leicester

Norwich vs Leicester prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-11-08 15:00
Norwich
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
47%
Confidence
Low
Score
0-1
Leicester
Away

Prediction Summary

1
24%
X
25%
2
51%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Norwich (Home)

Goals scored / match1.17
Goals conceded / match1.22
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate57%

Leicester (Away)

Goals scored / match1.17
Goals conceded / match1.48
Over 2.5 rate9%
BTTS rate74%

Team Form last 5 matches

Norwich
LDWWL
Leicester
WDDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 83%
39% +1.5 26%
4% +2.5 9%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
57% BTTS 74%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Low.

Norwich averages 1.17 goals scored at home, while Leicester averages 1.17 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
24%
Draw
25%
Away Win
51%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
49%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Norwich(A) 2 - 0 Leicester Home
Nov 2025 Norwich 1 - 2 Leicester Away
Apr 2024 Norwich(A) 1 - 3 Leicester Away
Sep 2023 Norwich 0 - 2 Leicester Away
May 2022 Norwich(A) 0 - 3 Leicester Away

In the last 5 meetings, Norwich won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Norwich — unbeaten run (home)2
Norwich — scoring streak (home)2
Leicester — winless run (away)0
Leicester — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Norwich Win (1)24%
Draw (X)25%
Leicester Win (2)51%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 83%
39% +1.5 26%
4% +2.5 9%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 17%
61% -1.5 74%
96% -2.5 91%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Norwich vs Leicester — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Norwich — scored (home)1.17
Norwich — conceded (home)1.22
Leicester — scored (away)1.17
Leicester — conceded (away)1.48
Model expected combined goals2.54

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%
No51%

Rate per Team

Norwich — BTTS matches (home)57%
Leicester — BTTS matches (away)74%
Combined (simple average)65.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.589%
Under 6.511%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.559%
Under 9.541%
Over 10.552%
Under 10.548%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Norwich (home)

Corners for5.7
Corners against4.2

Leicester (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against6.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Norwich
14 12 7 7 8
Leicester
14 12 17 14 20

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.596%
Under 0.54%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.572%
Under 2.528%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Norwich (home)

For1.6

Leicester (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Norwich — total shots (home)13.7
Leicester — total shots (away)11.9

Shots on Target

Norwich — on target (home)4.4
Leicester — on target (away)4.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Norwich

Inside the box8
Outside the box4.57

Leicester

Inside the box7.57
Outside the box5.28

Player Shots Norwich

M. Touré
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target36%
A. Ben Slimane
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target27%
J. Sargent
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target22%
J. Makama
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target14%
P. Maghoma
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target21%

Player Shots Leicester

A. Ramsey
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target22%
A. Fatawu
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target16%
J. James
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target12%
P. Daka
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target10%
D. Mukasa
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Norwich xG (home)1.32
Leicester xG (away)1.18

Average Possession

53.63% Possession 51.87%

Team Comparison Norwich vs Leicester

79.24% Pass accuracy 80.17%
435.28 Passes per match 427.22
0.13 Goals prevented -0.08
10.2 Fouls committed 10.76
2.61 Goalkeeper saves 2.69
1.93 Offsides 1.55
16.72 Tackles per match 15.85

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Norwich vs Leicester prediction analysis

Review Norwich vs Leicester with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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