Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Norwich vs QPR

Norwich vs QPR prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-11-29 15:00
Norwich
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
QPR
Away

Prediction Summary

1
29%
X
26%
2
45%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Norwich (Home)

Goals scored / match1.17
Goals conceded / match1.22
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate57%

QPR (Away)

Goals scored / match0.91
Goals conceded / match1.57
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate52%

Team Form last 5 matches

Norwich
LDWWL
QPR
LLLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 61%
39% +1.5 17%
4% +2.5 13%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
57% BTTS 52%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Norwich averages 1.17 goals scored at home, while QPR averages 0.91 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
29%
Draw
26%
Away Win
45%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Norwich(A) 2 - 1 QPR Home
Nov 2025 Norwich 3 - 1 QPR Home
Dec 2024 Norwich 1 - 1 QPR Draw
Dec 2024 Norwich(A) 0 - 3 QPR Away
Feb 2024 Norwich(A) 2 - 2 QPR Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Norwich won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Norwich — unbeaten run (home)2
Norwich — scoring streak (home)2
QPR — winless run (away)3
QPR — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Norwich Win (1)29%
Draw (X)26%
QPR Win (2)45%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 61%
39% +1.5 17%
4% +2.5 13%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 39%
61% -1.5 83%
96% -2.5 87%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Norwich vs QPR — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Norwich — scored (home)1.17
Norwich — conceded (home)1.22
QPR — scored (away)0.91
QPR — conceded (away)1.57
Model expected combined goals2.53

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Norwich — BTTS matches (home)57%
QPR — BTTS matches (away)52%
Combined (simple average)54.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.596%
Under 5.54%
Over 6.589%
Under 6.511%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.555%
Under 9.545%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Norwich (home)

Corners for5.7
Corners against4.2

QPR (away)

Corners for4.3
Corners against6.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Norwich
14 12 7 7 8
QPR
9 16 9 16 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Norwich (home)

For1.6

QPR (away)

For1.7

Shots per Game

Norwich — total shots (home)13.7
QPR — total shots (away)11.1

Shots on Target

Norwich — on target (home)4.4
QPR — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Norwich

Inside the box8
Outside the box4.57

QPR

Inside the box8
Outside the box4.72

Player Shots Norwich

M. Touré
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target36%
A. Ben Slimane
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target27%
J. Sargent
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target22%
J. Makama
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target14%
P. Maghoma
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target21%

Player Shots QPR

R. Kone
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target21%
I. Chair
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target13%
R. Burrell
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target20%
P. Smyth
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target14%
D. Bennie
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Norwich xG (home)1.32
QPR xG (away)1.19

Average Possession

53.63% Possession 45.98%

Team Comparison Norwich vs QPR

79.24% Pass accuracy 75.46%
435.28 Passes per match 368.37
0.13 Goals prevented -0.19
10.2 Fouls committed 11.22
2.61 Goalkeeper saves 2.58
1.93 Offsides 1.93
16.72 Tackles per match 14.52

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Norwich vs QPR prediction analysis

Review Norwich vs QPR with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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