Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Norwich vs West Brom

Norwich vs West Brom prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-10-01 18:45
Norwich
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
65%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
West Brom
Away

Prediction Summary

1
25%
X
22%
2
53%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Yes
64%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Norwich (Home)

Goals scored / match1.17
Goals conceded / match1.22
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate57%

West Brom (Away)

Goals scored / match0.87
Goals conceded / match1.43
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate48%

Team Form last 5 matches

Norwich
LDWWL
West Brom
LDWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 65%
39% +1.5 17%
4% +2.5 4%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
57% BTTS 48%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 65%. Model confidence is Medium.

Norwich averages 1.17 goals scored at home, while West Brom averages 0.87 goals scored away.

Model Strength
65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
25%
Draw
22%
Away Win
53%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Yes
64%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Norwich 3 - 1 West Brom Home
Jan 2026 Norwich(A) 5 - 0 West Brom Home
Oct 2025 Norwich 0 - 1 West Brom Away
Mar 2025 Norwich 1 - 0 West Brom Home
Nov 2024 Norwich(A) 2 - 2 West Brom Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Norwich won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Norwich — unbeaten run (home)2
Norwich — scoring streak (home)2
West Brom — winless run (away)1
West Brom — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Norwich Win (1)25%
Draw (X)22%
West Brom Win (2)53%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 65%
39% +1.5 17%
4% +2.5 4%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 35%
61% -1.5 83%
96% -2.5 96%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Norwich vs West Brom — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Norwich — scored (home)1.17
Norwich — conceded (home)1.22
West Brom — scored (away)0.87
West Brom — conceded (away)1.43
Model expected combined goals3.33

Both Teams To Score

Yes64%
No36%

Rate per Team

Norwich — BTTS matches (home)57%
West Brom — BTTS matches (away)48%
Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.596%
Under 5.54%
Over 6.589%
Under 6.511%
Over 7.570%
Under 7.530%
Over 8.561%
Under 8.539%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.539%
Under 10.561%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Norwich (home)

Corners for5.7
Corners against4.2

West Brom (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Norwich
14 12 7 7 8
West Brom
12 14 7 8 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.592%
Under 0.58%
Over 1.583%
Under 1.517%
Over 2.561%
Under 2.539%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Norwich (home)

For1.6

West Brom (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Norwich — total shots (home)13.7
West Brom — total shots (away)11.7

Shots on Target

Norwich — on target (home)4.4
West Brom — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Norwich

Inside the box8
Outside the box4.57

West Brom

Inside the box8.78
Outside the box4.63

Player Shots Norwich

M. Touré
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target36%
A. Ben Slimane
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target27%
J. Sargent
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target22%
J. Makama
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target14%
P. Maghoma
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target21%

Player Shots West Brom

I. Price
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target15%
A. Heggebø
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target13%
K. Ahearne-Grant
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. Johnston
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target9%
N. Phillips
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Norwich xG (home)1.32
West Brom xG (away)1.26

Average Possession

53.63% Possession 51.65%

Team Comparison Norwich vs West Brom

79.24% Pass accuracy 80.35%
435.28 Passes per match 449.07
0.13 Goals prevented -0.03
10.2 Fouls committed 10.24
2.61 Goalkeeper saves 2
1.93 Offsides 1.79
16.72 Tackles per match 14.2

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Norwich vs West Brom prediction analysis

Review Norwich vs West Brom with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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