Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Norwich vs Wrexham

Norwich vs Wrexham prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-09-20 14:00
Norwich
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
43%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Wrexham
Away

Prediction Summary

1
36%
X
28%
2
37%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Norwich (Home)

Goals scored / match1.17
Goals conceded / match1.22
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate57%

Wrexham (Away)

Goals scored / match1.22
Goals conceded / match1.22
Over 2.5 rate9%
BTTS rate57%

Team Form last 5 matches

Norwich
LDWWL
Wrexham
DLWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 78%
39% +1.5 35%
4% +2.5 9%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
57% BTTS 57%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.

Norwich averages 1.17 goals scored at home, while Wrexham averages 1.22 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
36%
Draw
28%
Away Win
37%
Over 2.5
43%
BTTS Yes
49%

Head-to-Head last 2

Jan 2026 Norwich(A) 2 - 1 Wrexham Home
Sep 2025 Norwich 2 - 3 Wrexham Away

In the last 2 meetings, Norwich won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Norwich — unbeaten run (home)2
Norwich — scoring streak (home)2
Wrexham — winless run (away)1
Wrexham — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Norwich Win (1)36%
Draw (X)28%
Wrexham Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 78%
39% +1.5 35%
4% +2.5 9%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 22%
61% -1.5 65%
96% -2.5 91%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Norwich vs Wrexham — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Norwich — scored (home)1.17
Norwich — conceded (home)1.22
Wrexham — scored (away)1.22
Wrexham — conceded (away)1.22
Model expected combined goals2.41

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%
No51%

Rate per Team

Norwich — BTTS matches (home)57%
Wrexham — BTTS matches (away)57%
Combined (simple average)57%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.589%
Under 6.511%
Over 7.576%
Under 7.524%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.557%
Under 9.543%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Norwich (home)

Corners for5.7
Corners against4.2

Wrexham (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Norwich
14 12 7 7 8
Wrexham
9 8 14 9 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.596%
Under 0.54%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.572%
Under 2.528%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Norwich (home)

For1.6

Wrexham (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Norwich — total shots (home)13.7
Wrexham — total shots (away)8.5

Shots on Target

Norwich — on target (home)4.4
Wrexham — on target (away)2.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Norwich

Inside the box8
Outside the box4.57

Wrexham

Inside the box7.5
Outside the box3.8

Player Shots Norwich

M. Touré
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target36%
A. Ben Slimane
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target27%
J. Sargent
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target22%
J. Makama
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target14%
P. Maghoma
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target21%

Player Shots Wrexham

K. Moore
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target18%
J. Windass
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target22%
O. Rathbone
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target4%
R. Hardie
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
S. Smith
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Norwich xG (home)1.32
Wrexham xG (away)1.2

Average Possession

53.63% Possession 48.2%

Team Comparison Norwich vs Wrexham

79.24% Pass accuracy 77.48%
435.28 Passes per match 412.91
0.13 Goals prevented -0.12
10.2 Fouls committed 9.93
2.61 Goalkeeper saves 3.04
1.93 Offsides 2.14
16.72 Tackles per match 15.37

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Norwich vs Wrexham prediction analysis

Review Norwich vs Wrexham with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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