Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Novorizontino vs Juventude

Novorizontino vs Juventude prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie B 2026-08-09 19:00
Novorizontino
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Home Win
Pick
Novorizontino
Probability
53%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Juventude
Away

Prediction Summary

1
53%
X
26%
2
21%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS No
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Novorizontino (Home)

Goals scored / match1.67
Goals conceded / match0.67
Over 2.5 rate33%
BTTS rate33%

Juventude (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.33
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate33%

Team Form last 5 matches

Novorizontino
LLLWW
Juventude
LWWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

67% +0.5 67%
67% +1.5 33%
33% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
33% BTTS 33%

Model Insight

The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Medium.

Novorizontino averages 1.67 goals scored at home, while Juventude averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
53%
Draw
26%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS Yes
44%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2023 Novorizontino(A) 0 - 1 Juventude Away
Apr 2023 Novorizontino 1 - 0 Juventude Home

In the last 2 meetings, Novorizontino won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Novorizontino — unbeaten run (home)0
Novorizontino — scoring streak (home)0
Juventude — winless run (away)2
Juventude — clean sheets (away, last 3)2 of 3

1X2 Probability model

Novorizontino Win (1)53%
Draw (X)26%
Juventude Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

67% +0.5 67%
67% +1.5 33%
33% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

33% -0.5 33%
33% -1.5 67%
67% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Novorizontino vs Juventude — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Novorizontino — scored (home)1.67
Novorizontino — conceded (home)0.67
Juventude — scored (away)1
Juventude — conceded (away)1.33
Model expected combined goals2.33

Both Teams To Score

Yes44%
No56%

Rate per Team

Novorizontino — BTTS matches (home)33%
Juventude — BTTS matches (away)33%
Combined (simple average)33%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Novorizontino (home)

Corners for6.0
Corners against5.7

Juventude (away)

Corners for4.3
Corners against3.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Novorizontino
10 11 12 13 14
Juventude
10 8 1 8 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.5100%
Under 2.50%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Novorizontino (home)

For2.0

Juventude (away)

For2.3

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.577%
Under 19.523%
Over 22.563%
Under 22.537%
Over 25.548%
Under 25.552%
Expected total shots25.80

Novorizontino

Shots Over 9.586%
Shots Over 11.574%
Shots Over 13.560%
Expected shots15.30
On Target Over 3.566%
On Target Over 4.549%
On Target Over 5.532%
Expected on target4.64

Juventude

Shots Over 9.556%
Shots Over 11.537%
Shots Over 13.522%
Expected shots10.50
On Target Over 3.542%
On Target Over 4.525%
On Target Over 5.513%
Expected on target3.32

Shots per Game

Novorizontino — total shots (home)15.0
Juventude — total shots (away)10.7

Shots on Target

Novorizontino — on target (home)4.7
Juventude — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Novorizontino

Inside the box9.4
Outside the box5.6

Juventude

Inside the box5.33
Outside the box5

Player Shots Novorizontino

Juninho
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
Romulo
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Robson
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
Luis Oyama
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
Reidiney
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Juventude

Marcos Paulo
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
Alisson Safira
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
Raí
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
Patryck
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Fábio Lima
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Novorizontino xG (home)1.57
Juventude xG (away)0.73

Average Possession

49.2% Possession 47.5%

Team Comparison Novorizontino vs Juventude

78.17% Pass accuracy 72.92%
366.8 Passes per match 260.17
-0.38 Goals prevented -0.65
13.4 Fouls committed 15.83
1.4 Goalkeeper saves 2.5
1.2 Offsides 1.33
15 Tackles per match 14.67

League average xG this season is 1.13 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Novorizontino vs Juventude prediction analysis

Review Novorizontino vs Juventude with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie B.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie B
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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