Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Nublense vs Cobresal

Nublense vs Cobresal prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera División 2025-12-07 21:00
Nublense
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
36%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Cobresal
Away

Prediction Summary

1
39%
X
29%
2
32%
Under 2.5
64%
BTTS No
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Nublense (Home)

Goals scored / match1.2
Goals conceded / match0.93
Over 2.5 rate7%
BTTS rate47%

Cobresal (Away)

Goals scored / match0.93
Goals conceded / match1.6
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Nublense
WLLLL
Cobresal
LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

73% +0.5 73%
27% +1.5 20%
7% +2.5 0%
7% +3.5 0%
7% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 36%. Model confidence is Medium.

Nublense averages 1.2 goals scored at home, while Cobresal averages 0.93 goals scored away.

Model Strength
64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
39%
Draw
29%
Away Win
32%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS Yes
43%

Head-to-Head last 2

Dec 2025 Nublense 5 - 0 Cobresal Home
Jun 2025 Nublense(A) 1 - 1 Cobresal Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Nublense won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Nublense — unbeaten run (home)1
Nublense — scoring streak (home)1
Cobresal — winless run (away)2
Cobresal — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Nublense Win (1)39%
Draw (X)29%
Cobresal Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

73% +0.5 73%
27% +1.5 20%
7% +2.5 0%
7% +3.5 0%
7% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

27% -0.5 27%
73% -1.5 80%
93% -2.5 100%
93% -3.5 100%
93% -4.5 100%

Nublense vs Cobresal — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Nublense — scored (home)1.2
Nublense — conceded (home)0.93
Cobresal — scored (away)0.93
Cobresal — conceded (away)1.6
Model expected combined goals2.14

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%
No57%

Rate per Team

Nublense — BTTS matches (home)47%
Cobresal — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)47%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.580%
Under 5.520%
Over 6.574%
Under 6.526%
Over 7.560%
Under 7.540%
Over 8.544%
Under 8.556%
Over 9.533%
Under 9.567%
Over 10.524%
Under 10.576%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Nublense (home)

Corners for4.6
Corners against2.8

Cobresal (away)

Corners for3.2
Corners against6.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Nublense
5 3 5 5 8
Cobresal
8 14 12 12 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.5100%
Under 2.50%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Nublense (home)

For2.8

Cobresal (away)

For3.6

Shots per Game

Nublense — total shots (home)13.9
Cobresal — total shots (away)12.1

Shots on Target

Nublense — on target (home)3.5
Cobresal — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Nublense

Inside the box8.13
Outside the box4.6

Cobresal

Inside the box6.53
Outside the box7.87

Player Shots Nublense

G. Sosa
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target15%
P. Rubio
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target12%
G. Graciani
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target7%
F. Mateos
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target4%
Bernardo Cerezo
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Cobresal

J. Henríquez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target33%
D. Coelho
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target36%
C. Munder
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target26%
J. Gaete
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target18%
B. Ramirez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Nublense xG (home)1.22
Cobresal xG (away)1.59

Average Possession

52.77% Possession 45.7%

Team Comparison Nublense vs Cobresal

78.17% Pass accuracy 78.9%
411.83 Passes per match 360.23
0 Goals prevented 0
12.8 Fouls committed 10.8
3.17 Goalkeeper saves 3.93
2.54 Offsides 2.24
15.97 Tackles per match 14.8

League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Nublense vs Cobresal prediction analysis

Review Nublense vs Cobresal with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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