Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Nublense vs Union Espanola

Nublense vs Union Espanola prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera División 2025-08-31 22:30
Nublense
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
43%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Union Espanola
Away

Prediction Summary

1
56%
X
25%
2
19%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS No
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Nublense (Home)

Goals scored / match1.2
Goals conceded / match0.93
Over 2.5 rate7%
BTTS rate47%

Union Espanola (Away)

Goals scored / match0.73
Goals conceded / match1.87
Over 2.5 rate7%
BTTS rate33%

Team Form last 5 matches

Nublense
WLLLL
Union Espanola
LLLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

73% +0.5 40%
27% +1.5 20%
7% +2.5 7%
7% +3.5 7%
7% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 33%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.

Nublense averages 1.2 goals scored at home, while Union Espanola averages 0.73 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
56%
Draw
25%
Away Win
19%
Over 2.5
43%
BTTS Yes
44%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2025 Nublense 1 - 2 Union Espanola Away
Apr 2025 Nublense(A) 0 - 3 Union Espanola Away

In the last 2 meetings, Nublense won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Nublense — unbeaten run (home)1
Nublense — scoring streak (home)1
Union Espanola — winless run (away)4
Union Espanola — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Nublense Win (1)56%
Draw (X)25%
Union Espanola Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

73% +0.5 40%
27% +1.5 20%
7% +2.5 7%
7% +3.5 7%
7% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

27% -0.5 60%
73% -1.5 80%
93% -2.5 93%
93% -3.5 93%
93% -4.5 100%

Nublense vs Union Espanola — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Nublense — scored (home)1.2
Nublense — conceded (home)0.93
Union Espanola — scored (away)0.73
Union Espanola — conceded (away)1.87
Model expected combined goals2.4

Both Teams To Score

Yes44%
No56%

Rate per Team

Nublense — BTTS matches (home)47%
Union Espanola — BTTS matches (away)33%
Combined (simple average)40%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.580%
Under 5.520%
Over 6.574%
Under 6.526%
Over 7.560%
Under 7.540%
Over 8.547%
Under 8.553%
Over 9.530%
Under 9.570%
Over 10.524%
Under 10.576%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Nublense (home)

Corners for4.6
Corners against2.8

Union Espanola (away)

Corners for4.9
Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Nublense
5 3 5 5 8
Union Espanola
7 8 11 15 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.5100%
Under 2.50%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Nublense (home)

For2.8

Union Espanola (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Nublense — total shots (home)13.9
Union Espanola — total shots (away)14.1

Shots on Target

Nublense — on target (home)3.5
Union Espanola — on target (away)4.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Nublense

Inside the box8.13
Outside the box4.6

Union Espanola

Inside the box7.93
Outside the box6.13

Player Shots Nublense

G. Sosa
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target15%
P. Rubio
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target12%
G. Graciani
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target7%
F. Mateos
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target4%
Bernardo Cerezo
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Union Espanola

P. Aránguiz
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target15%
M. Suárez
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
A. Uribe
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target21%
I. Jeraldino
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target22%
M. Marín
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Nublense xG (home)1.22
Union Espanola xG (away)1.45

Average Possession

52.77% Possession 51.87%

Team Comparison Nublense vs Union Espanola

78.17% Pass accuracy 78.9%
411.83 Passes per match 401.97
0 Goals prevented 0
12.8 Fouls committed 10.67
3.17 Goalkeeper saves 3.2
2.54 Offsides 2.14
15.97 Tackles per match 16.07

League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Nublense vs Union Espanola prediction analysis

Review Nublense vs Union Espanola with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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