Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Odense vs Aarhus

Odense vs Aarhus prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Superliga 2025-08-18 17:00
Odense
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
65%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Aarhus
Away

Prediction Summary

1
29%
X
22%
2
49%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Yes
65%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Odense (Home)

Goals scored / match1.75
Goals conceded / match1.88
Over 2.5 rate31%
BTTS rate81%

Aarhus (Away)

Goals scored / match1.94
Goals conceded / match1.13
Over 2.5 rate19%
BTTS rate88%

Team Form last 5 matches

Odense
LDLWL
Aarhus
WWWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 100%
50% +1.5 63%
31% +2.5 19%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 6%
81% BTTS 88%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 65%. Model confidence is Medium.

Odense averages 1.75 goals scored at home, while Aarhus averages 1.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength
65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
29%
Draw
22%
Away Win
49%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Yes
65%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Odense(A) 1 - 2 Aarhus Away
Dec 2025 Odense(A) 1 - 3 Aarhus Away
Dec 2025 Odense 1 - 0 Aarhus Home
Aug 2025 Odense 1 - 5 Aarhus Away
Mar 2024 Odense(A) 1 - 1 Aarhus Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Odense won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Odense — unbeaten run (home)0
Odense — scoring streak (home)0
Aarhus — winless run (away)0
Aarhus — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Odense Win (1)29%
Draw (X)22%
Aarhus Win (2)49%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 100%
50% +1.5 63%
31% +2.5 19%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 0%
50% -1.5 37%
69% -2.5 81%
100% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 94%

Odense vs Aarhus — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Odense — scored (home)1.75
Odense — conceded (home)1.88
Aarhus — scored (away)1.94
Aarhus — conceded (away)1.13
Model expected combined goals3.34

Both Teams To Score

Yes65%
No35%

Rate per Team

Odense — BTTS matches (home)81%
Aarhus — BTTS matches (away)88%
Combined (simple average)84.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%
Under 4.59%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.576%
Under 7.524%
Over 8.569%
Under 8.531%
Over 9.557%
Under 9.543%
Over 10.547%
Under 10.553%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Odense (home)

Corners for6.1
Corners against4.3

Aarhus (away)

Corners for4.5
Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Odense
17 7 11 11 12
Aarhus
10 9 14 9 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.591%
Under 0.59%
Over 1.582%
Under 1.518%
Over 2.566%
Under 2.534%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Odense (home)

For1.5

Aarhus (away)

For1.7

Shots per Game

Odense — total shots (home)12.9
Aarhus — total shots (away)12.9

Shots on Target

Odense — on target (home)5.6
Aarhus — on target (away)4.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Odense

Inside the box8.38
Outside the box3.78

Aarhus

Inside the box10.13
Outside the box5.5

Player Shots Odense

N. Ganaus
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target25%
J. Arp
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target13%
J. Grot
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target21%
A. Suhonen
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Niemiec
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Aarhus

T. Bech
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target31%
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target19%
P. Mortensen
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target19%
Kevin Yakob
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target12%
G. Links
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Odense xG (home)1.69
Aarhus xG (away)1.97

Average Possession

51.41% Possession 53.56%

Team Comparison Odense vs Aarhus

83.31% Pass accuracy 83.03%
506.63 Passes per match 478.44
0.16 Goals prevented -0.18
11.53 Fouls committed 10.97
2.77 Goalkeeper saves 3.13
1.63 Offsides 1.72
17.5 Tackles per match 16.09

League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Odense vs Aarhus prediction analysis

Review Odense vs Aarhus with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Superliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Superliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top