Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge

OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Jupiler Pro League 2025-12-21 18:15
OH Leuven
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
36%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Cercle Brugge
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
29%
2
31%
Under 2.5
64%
BTTS No
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

OH Leuven (Home)

Goals scored / match1.1
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate45%

Cercle Brugge (Away)

Goals scored / match1.5
Goals conceded / match1.28
Over 2.5 rate22%
BTTS rate56%

Team Form last 5 matches

OH Leuven
LDWLD
Cercle Brugge
LLWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 78%
25% +1.5 39%
15% +2.5 22%
5% +3.5 11%
0% +4.5 0%
45% BTTS 56%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 36%. Model confidence is Medium.

OH Leuven averages 1.1 goals scored at home, while Cercle Brugge averages 1.5 goals scored away.

Model Strength
64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
29%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS Yes
43%

Head-to-Head last 5

Dec 2025 OH Leuven 0 - 2 Cercle Brugge Away
Nov 2025 OH Leuven(A) 2 - 1 Cercle Brugge Home
Dec 2024 OH Leuven(A) 0 - 1 Cercle Brugge Away
Aug 2024 OH Leuven 1 - 1 Cercle Brugge Draw
Dec 2023 OH Leuven 1 - 2 Cercle Brugge Away

In the last 5 meetings, OH Leuven won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

OH Leuven — unbeaten run (home)0
OH Leuven — scoring streak (home)0
Cercle Brugge — winless run (away)1
Cercle Brugge — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

OH Leuven Win (1)40%
Draw (X)29%
Cercle Brugge Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 78%
25% +1.5 39%
15% +2.5 22%
5% +3.5 11%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 22%
75% -1.5 61%
85% -2.5 78%
95% -3.5 89%
100% -4.5 100%

OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

OH Leuven — scored (home)1.1
OH Leuven — conceded (home)1.35
Cercle Brugge — scored (away)1.5
Cercle Brugge — conceded (away)1.28
Model expected combined goals2.15

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%
No57%

Rate per Team

OH Leuven — BTTS matches (home)45%
Cercle Brugge — BTTS matches (away)56%
Combined (simple average)50.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.589%
Under 6.511%
Over 7.582%
Under 7.518%
Over 8.577%
Under 8.523%
Over 9.571%
Under 9.529%
Over 10.564%
Under 10.536%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

OH Leuven (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against5.8

Cercle Brugge (away)

Corners for4.9
Corners against5.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

OH Leuven
7 10 12 20 8
Cercle Brugge
14 10 13 13 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

OH Leuven (home)

For2.5

Cercle Brugge (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

OH Leuven — total shots (home)14.5
Cercle Brugge — total shots (away)13.3

Shots on Target

OH Leuven — on target (home)4.7
Cercle Brugge — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

OH Leuven

Inside the box8.93
Outside the box3.93

Cercle Brugge

Inside the box10.39
Outside the box3.92

Player Shots OH Leuven

C. Terho
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target8%
C. Ikwuemesi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target15%
M. Maertens
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target14%
S. Kaba
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target3%
K. Vaesen
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Cercle Brugge

O. Adewumi
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target16%
O. Diakité
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target12%
A. Minda
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target18%
S. Ngoura
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Diop
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

OH Leuven xG (home)1.23
Cercle Brugge xG (away)1.66

Average Possession

45.85% Possession 47.67%

Team Comparison OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge

76.98% Pass accuracy 74.75%
348.93 Passes per match 367.03
0.07 Goals prevented 0.2
14.45 Fouls committed 10.64
3.38 Goalkeeper saves 3.36
2.2 Offsides 2.97
17.28 Tackles per match 19.03

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge prediction analysis

Review OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Jupiler Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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