Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: OH Leuven vs Charleroi

OH Leuven vs Charleroi prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Jupiler Pro League 2025-07-27 14:00
OH Leuven
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
44%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Charleroi
Away

Prediction Summary

1
33%
X
27%
2
39%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

OH Leuven (Home)

Goals scored / match1.1
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate45%

Charleroi (Away)

Goals scored / match1.2
Goals conceded / match1.2
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate45%

Team Form last 5 matches

OH Leuven
LDWLD
Charleroi
WDLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 75%
25% +1.5 40%
15% +2.5 5%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
45% BTTS 45%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.

OH Leuven averages 1.1 goals scored at home, while Charleroi averages 1.2 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
33%
Draw
27%
Away Win
39%
Over 2.5
44%
BTTS Yes
49%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 OH Leuven(A) 1 - 1 Charleroi Draw
Apr 2026 OH Leuven 0 - 2 Charleroi Away
Mar 2026 OH Leuven(A) 2 - 0 Charleroi Home
Jul 2025 OH Leuven 2 - 2 Charleroi Draw
May 2025 OH Leuven(A) 1 - 2 Charleroi Away

In the last 5 meetings, OH Leuven won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

OH Leuven — unbeaten run (home)0
OH Leuven — scoring streak (home)0
Charleroi — winless run (away)0
Charleroi — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

OH Leuven Win (1)33%
Draw (X)27%
Charleroi Win (2)39%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 75%
25% +1.5 40%
15% +2.5 5%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 25%
75% -1.5 60%
85% -2.5 95%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

OH Leuven vs Charleroi — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

OH Leuven — scored (home)1.1
OH Leuven — conceded (home)1.35
Charleroi — scored (away)1.2
Charleroi — conceded (away)1.2
Model expected combined goals2.43

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%
No51%

Rate per Team

OH Leuven — BTTS matches (home)45%
Charleroi — BTTS matches (away)45%
Combined (simple average)45%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.590%
Under 6.510%
Over 7.575%
Under 7.525%
Over 8.570%
Under 8.530%
Over 9.565%
Under 9.535%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

OH Leuven (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against5.8

Charleroi (away)

Corners for5.4
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

OH Leuven
7 10 12 20 8
Charleroi
9 7 13 20 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.578%
Under 2.522%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

OH Leuven (home)

For2.5

Charleroi (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

OH Leuven — total shots (home)14.5
Charleroi — total shots (away)12.1

Shots on Target

OH Leuven — on target (home)4.7
Charleroi — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

OH Leuven

Inside the box8.93
Outside the box3.93

Charleroi

Inside the box8.5
Outside the box4.5

Player Shots OH Leuven

C. Terho
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target8%
C. Ikwuemesi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target15%
M. Maertens
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target14%
S. Kaba
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target3%
K. Vaesen
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Charleroi

P. Guiagon
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target18%
A. Scheidler
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
N. Štulić
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
Y. Titraoui
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%
P. Pflücke
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

OH Leuven xG (home)1.23
Charleroi xG (away)1.33

Average Possession

45.85% Possession 49.78%

Team Comparison OH Leuven vs Charleroi

76.98% Pass accuracy 80.28%
348.93 Passes per match 394.8
0.07 Goals prevented 0.04
14.45 Fouls committed 11.3
3.38 Goalkeeper saves 2.53
2.2 Offsides 2.35
17.28 Tackles per match 15.98

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

OH Leuven vs Charleroi prediction analysis

Review OH Leuven vs Charleroi with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Jupiler Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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