Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: OH Leuven vs Gent

OH Leuven vs Gent prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Jupiler Pro League 2025-11-02 15:00
OH Leuven
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Gent
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
25%
2
36%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

OH Leuven (Home)

Goals scored / match1.1
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate45%

Gent (Away)

Goals scored / match1.2
Goals conceded / match1.8
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate60%

Team Form last 5 matches

OH Leuven
LDWLD
Gent
DLDDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 65%
25% +1.5 25%
15% +2.5 20%
5% +3.5 10%
0% +4.5 0%
45% BTTS 60%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

OH Leuven averages 1.1 goals scored at home, while Gent averages 1.2 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
25%
Away Win
36%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
59%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 OH Leuven(A) 3 - 1 Gent Home
Nov 2025 OH Leuven 4 - 0 Gent Home
Jan 2025 OH Leuven 0 - 0 Gent Draw
Sep 2024 OH Leuven(A) 0 - 3 Gent Away
May 2024 OH Leuven(A) 1 - 0 Gent Home

In the last 5 meetings, OH Leuven won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

OH Leuven — unbeaten run (home)0
OH Leuven — scoring streak (home)0
Gent — winless run (away)5
Gent — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

OH Leuven Win (1)40%
Draw (X)25%
Gent Win (2)36%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 65%
25% +1.5 25%
15% +2.5 20%
5% +3.5 10%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 35%
75% -1.5 75%
85% -2.5 80%
95% -3.5 90%
100% -4.5 100%

OH Leuven vs Gent — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

OH Leuven — scored (home)1.1
OH Leuven — conceded (home)1.35
Gent — scored (away)1.2
Gent — conceded (away)1.8
Model expected combined goals2.92

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%
No41%

Rate per Team

OH Leuven — BTTS matches (home)45%
Gent — BTTS matches (away)60%
Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.590%
Under 6.510%
Over 7.585%
Under 7.515%
Over 8.578%
Under 8.522%
Over 9.570%
Under 9.530%
Over 10.558%
Under 10.542%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

OH Leuven (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against5.8

Gent (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against6.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

OH Leuven
7 10 12 20 8
Gent
6 6 13 13 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.565%
Under 2.535%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

OH Leuven (home)

For2.5

Gent (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

OH Leuven — total shots (home)14.5
Gent — total shots (away)11.2

Shots on Target

OH Leuven — on target (home)4.7
Gent — on target (away)4.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

OH Leuven

Inside the box8.93
Outside the box3.93

Gent

Inside the box8.61
Outside the box4.12

Player Shots OH Leuven

C. Terho
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target8%
C. Ikwuemesi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target15%
M. Maertens
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target14%
S. Kaba
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target3%
K. Vaesen
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Gent

W. Kanga
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target25%
M. Dean
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target22%
O. Gandelman
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target17%
B. Goore
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target9%
A. Ito
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

OH Leuven xG (home)1.23
Gent xG (away)1.46

Average Possession

45.85% Possession 49.22%

Team Comparison OH Leuven vs Gent

76.98% Pass accuracy 80.63%
348.93 Passes per match 428.1
0.07 Goals prevented -0.05
14.45 Fouls committed 10.17
3.38 Goalkeeper saves 3.59
2.2 Offsides 1.95
17.28 Tackles per match 14.2

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

OH Leuven vs Gent prediction analysis

Review OH Leuven vs Gent with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Jupiler Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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