Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: O'Higgins vs Union Espanola

O'Higgins vs Union Espanola prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera División 2025-06-15 16:30
O'Higgins
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
50%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Union Espanola
Away

Prediction Summary

1
61%
X
22%
2
17%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS No
52%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

O'Higgins (Home)

Goals scored / match1.4
Goals conceded / match0.73
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate40%

Union Espanola (Away)

Goals scored / match0.73
Goals conceded / match1.87
Over 2.5 rate7%
BTTS rate33%

Team Form last 5 matches

O'Higgins
WWLWW
Union Espanola
LLLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

80% +0.5 40%
33% +1.5 20%
20% +2.5 7%
7% +3.5 7%
0% +4.5 0%
40% BTTS 33%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Medium.

O'Higgins averages 1.4 goals scored at home, while Union Espanola averages 0.73 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
61%
Draw
22%
Away Win
17%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
48%

Head-to-Head last 4

Jul 2026 O'Higgins(A) 2 - 1 Union Espanola Home
Jun 2026 O'Higgins 1 - 1 Union Espanola Draw
Nov 2025 O'Higgins(A) 4 - 2 Union Espanola Home
Jun 2025 O'Higgins 1 - 0 Union Espanola Home

In the last 4 meetings, O'Higgins won 3, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

O'Higgins — unbeaten run (home)1
O'Higgins — scoring streak (home)1
Union Espanola — winless run (away)4
Union Espanola — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

O'Higgins Win (1)61%
Draw (X)22%
Union Espanola Win (2)17%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

80% +0.5 40%
33% +1.5 20%
20% +2.5 7%
7% +3.5 7%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

20% -0.5 60%
67% -1.5 80%
80% -2.5 93%
93% -3.5 93%
100% -4.5 100%

O'Higgins vs Union Espanola — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

O'Higgins — scored (home)1.4
O'Higgins — conceded (home)0.73
Union Espanola — scored (away)0.73
Union Espanola — conceded (away)1.87
Model expected combined goals2.67

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%
No52%

Rate per Team

O'Higgins — BTTS matches (home)40%
Union Espanola — BTTS matches (away)33%
Combined (simple average)36.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.587%
Under 4.513%
Over 5.583%
Under 5.517%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.573%
Under 7.527%
Over 8.570%
Under 8.530%
Over 9.560%
Under 9.540%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

O'Higgins (home)

Corners for5.9
Corners against4.7

Union Espanola (away)

Corners for4.9
Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

O'Higgins
10 3 13 15 4
Union Espanola
7 8 11 15 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.5100%
Under 2.50%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.7

Yellow Cards per Team

O'Higgins (home)

For2.6

Union Espanola (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

O'Higgins — total shots (home)15.8
Union Espanola — total shots (away)14.1

Shots on Target

O'Higgins — on target (home)4.4
Union Espanola — on target (away)4.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

O'Higgins

Inside the box8.17
Outside the box7.13

Union Espanola

Inside the box7.93
Outside the box6.13

Player Shots O'Higgins

B. Rabello
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target30%
Francisco González
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target21%
J. Montecinos
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target23%
M. Romero
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target23%
M. Sarrafiore
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target21%

Player Shots Union Espanola

P. Aránguiz
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target15%
M. Suárez
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
A. Uribe
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target21%
I. Jeraldino
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target22%
M. Marín
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

O'Higgins xG (home)1.44
Union Espanola xG (away)1.45

Average Possession

53.43% Possession 51.87%

Team Comparison O'Higgins vs Union Espanola

74.5% Pass accuracy 78.9%
380.67 Passes per match 401.97
0 Goals prevented 0
12.07 Fouls committed 10.67
2.4 Goalkeeper saves 3.2
1.21 Offsides 2.14
16.13 Tackles per match 16.07

League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

O'Higgins vs Union Espanola prediction analysis

Review O'Higgins vs Union Espanola with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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