Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: O'Higgins vs Union La Calera

O'Higgins vs Union La Calera prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera División 2025-08-03 16:30
O'Higgins
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
27%
Confidence
High
Score
1-0
Union La Calera
Away

Prediction Summary

1
50%
X
31%
2
19%
Under 2.5
73%
BTTS No
68%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

O'Higgins (Home)

Goals scored / match1.4
Goals conceded / match0.73
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate40%

Union La Calera (Away)

Goals scored / match0.67
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate7%
BTTS rate40%

Team Form last 5 matches

O'Higgins
WWLWW
Union La Calera
LLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

80% +0.5 53%
33% +1.5 7%
20% +2.5 7%
7% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
40% BTTS 40%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 27%. Model confidence is High.

O'Higgins averages 1.4 goals scored at home, while Union La Calera averages 0.67 goals scored away.

Model Strength
73%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
50%
Draw
31%
Away Win
19%
Over 2.5
27%
BTTS Yes
32%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2025 O'Higgins 1 - 0 Union La Calera Home
Mar 2025 O'Higgins(A) 2 - 2 Union La Calera Draw

In the last 2 meetings, O'Higgins won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

O'Higgins — unbeaten run (home)1
O'Higgins — scoring streak (home)1
Union La Calera — winless run (away)8
Union La Calera — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

O'Higgins Win (1)50%
Draw (X)31%
Union La Calera Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

80% +0.5 53%
33% +1.5 7%
20% +2.5 7%
7% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

20% -0.5 47%
67% -1.5 93%
80% -2.5 93%
93% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

O'Higgins vs Union La Calera — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

O'Higgins — scored (home)1.4
O'Higgins — conceded (home)0.73
Union La Calera — scored (away)0.67
Union La Calera — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals1.81

Both Teams To Score

Yes32%
No68%

Rate per Team

O'Higgins — BTTS matches (home)40%
Union La Calera — BTTS matches (away)40%
Combined (simple average)40%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.587%
Under 4.513%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.583%
Under 6.517%
Over 7.573%
Under 7.527%
Over 8.570%
Under 8.530%
Over 9.567%
Under 9.533%
Over 10.557%
Under 10.543%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

O'Higgins (home)

Corners for5.9
Corners against4.7

Union La Calera (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against6.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

O'Higgins
10 3 13 15 4
Union La Calera
7 7 6 8 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.594%
Under 2.56%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.1

Yellow Cards per Team

O'Higgins (home)

For2.6

Union La Calera (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

O'Higgins — total shots (home)15.8
Union La Calera — total shots (away)8.0

Shots on Target

O'Higgins — on target (home)4.4
Union La Calera — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

O'Higgins

Inside the box8.17
Outside the box7.13

Union La Calera

Inside the box5.57
Outside the box4.23

Player Shots O'Higgins

B. Rabello
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target30%
Francisco González
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target21%
J. Montecinos
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target23%
M. Romero
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target23%
M. Sarrafiore
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target21%

Player Shots Union La Calera

S. Sáez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target17%
L. Benegas
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target13%
Ignacio Mesías
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
C. Insaurralde
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Encinas
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

O'Higgins xG (home)1.44
Union La Calera xG (away)1.05

Average Possession

53.43% Possession 49.03%

Team Comparison O'Higgins vs Union La Calera

74.5% Pass accuracy 76.73%
380.67 Passes per match 383.4
0 Goals prevented 0
12.07 Fouls committed 11.5
2.4 Goalkeeper saves 2.76
1.21 Offsides 1.74
16.13 Tackles per match 15.45

League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

O'Higgins vs Union La Calera prediction analysis

Review O'Higgins vs Union La Calera with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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