Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: O'Higgins vs Universidad de Chile

O'Higgins vs Universidad de Chile prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera División 2025-11-23 21:00
O'Higgins
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
41%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Universidad de Chile
Away

Prediction Summary

1
48%
X
27%
2
25%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS No
55%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

O'Higgins (Home)

Goals scored / match1.4
Goals conceded / match0.73
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate40%

Universidad de Chile (Away)

Goals scored / match1.2
Goals conceded / match1.2
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate40%

Team Form last 5 matches

O'Higgins
WWLWW
Universidad de Chile
WDWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

80% +0.5 60%
33% +1.5 33%
20% +2.5 20%
7% +3.5 7%
0% +4.5 0%
40% BTTS 40%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 41%. Model confidence is Medium.

O'Higgins averages 1.4 goals scored at home, while Universidad de Chile averages 1.2 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
48%
Draw
27%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS Yes
45%

Head-to-Head last 3

Jun 2026 O'Higgins(A) 0 - 2 Universidad de Chile Away
Nov 2025 O'Higgins 0 - 1 Universidad de Chile Away
May 2025 O'Higgins(A) 0 - 6 Universidad de Chile Away

In the last 3 meetings, O'Higgins won 0, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

O'Higgins — unbeaten run (home)1
O'Higgins — scoring streak (home)1
Universidad de Chile — winless run (away)0
Universidad de Chile — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

O'Higgins Win (1)48%
Draw (X)27%
Universidad de Chile Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

80% +0.5 60%
33% +1.5 33%
20% +2.5 20%
7% +3.5 7%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

20% -0.5 40%
67% -1.5 67%
80% -2.5 80%
93% -3.5 93%
100% -4.5 100%

O'Higgins vs Universidad de Chile — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

O'Higgins — scored (home)1.4
O'Higgins — conceded (home)0.73
Universidad de Chile — scored (away)1.2
Universidad de Chile — conceded (away)1.2
Model expected combined goals2.31

Both Teams To Score

Yes45%
No55%

Rate per Team

O'Higgins — BTTS matches (home)40%
Universidad de Chile — BTTS matches (away)40%
Combined (simple average)40%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.580%
Under 4.520%
Over 5.580%
Under 5.520%
Over 6.573%
Under 6.527%
Over 7.567%
Under 7.533%
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.557%
Under 9.543%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

O'Higgins (home)

Corners for5.9
Corners against4.7

Universidad de Chile (away)

Corners for5.1
Corners against3.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

O'Higgins
10 3 13 15 4
Universidad de Chile
7 12 13 12 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.594%
Under 2.56%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.7

Yellow Cards per Team

O'Higgins (home)

For2.6

Universidad de Chile (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

O'Higgins — total shots (home)15.8
Universidad de Chile — total shots (away)14.7

Shots on Target

O'Higgins — on target (home)4.4
Universidad de Chile — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

O'Higgins

Inside the box8.17
Outside the box7.13

Universidad de Chile

Inside the box10.23
Outside the box6

Player Shots O'Higgins

B. Rabello
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target30%
Francisco González
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target21%
J. Montecinos
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target23%
M. Romero
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target23%
M. Sarrafiore
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target21%

Player Shots Universidad de Chile

L. Fernández
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target35%
L. Di Yorio
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target30%
N. Guerra
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target10%
R. Contreras
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Assadi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

O'Higgins xG (home)1.44
Universidad de Chile xG (away)2.54

Average Possession

53.43% Possession 58%

Team Comparison O'Higgins vs Universidad de Chile

74.5% Pass accuracy 80.47%
380.67 Passes per match 432.17
0 Goals prevented 0
12.07 Fouls committed 11.13
2.4 Goalkeeper saves 2.73
1.21 Offsides 1.37
16.13 Tackles per match 17.2

League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

O'Higgins vs Universidad de Chile prediction analysis

Review O'Higgins vs Universidad de Chile with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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