Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Olympiakos Piraeus vs NEC Nijmegen

Olympiakos Piraeus vs NEC Nijmegen prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2026-08-04 17:00
Olympiakos Piraeus
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
53%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
NEC Nijmegen
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
25%
2
34%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Olympiakos Piraeus (Home)

Goals scored / match1.2
Goals conceded / match1.4
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate40%

NEC Nijmegen (Away)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

Olympiakos Piraeus
DLWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

60% +0.5 0%
40% +1.5 0%
20% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
40% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Medium.

Olympiakos Piraeus averages 1.2 goals scored at home, while NEC Nijmegen averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
25%
Away Win
34%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
56%

Head-to-Head last 0

No head-to-head historyThese two teams have no finished match on record against each other.

Current Streaks

Olympiakos Piraeus — unbeaten run (home)0
Olympiakos Piraeus — scoring streak (home)0

1X2 Probability model

Olympiakos Piraeus Win (1)40%
Draw (X)25%
NEC Nijmegen Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

60% +0.5 0%
40% +1.5 0%
20% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

40% -0.5 100%
60% -1.5 100%
80% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Olympiakos Piraeus vs NEC Nijmegen — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Olympiakos Piraeus — scored (home)1.2
Olympiakos Piraeus — conceded (home)1.4
NEC Nijmegen — scored (away)0
NEC Nijmegen — conceded (away)0
Model expected combined goals2.79

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%
No44%

Rate per Team

Olympiakos Piraeus — BTTS matches (home)40%
NEC Nijmegen — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)20%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Olympiakos Piraeus (home)

Corners for4.0
Corners against4.4

NEC Nijmegen (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Olympiakos Piraeus
9 10 9 6 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.550%
Under 1.550%
Over 2.530%
Under 2.570%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Olympiakos Piraeus (home)

For1.6

NEC Nijmegen (away)

For—

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.573%
Under 19.527%
Over 22.561%
Under 22.539%
Over 25.549%
Under 25.551%
Expected total shots26.35

Olympiakos Piraeus

Shots Over 9.580%
Shots Over 11.568%
Shots Over 13.555%
Expected shots14.96
On Target Over 3.569%
On Target Over 4.555%
On Target Over 5.542%
Expected on target5.27

NEC Nijmegen

Shots Over 9.561%
Shots Over 11.545%
Shots Over 13.530%
Expected shots11.39
On Target Over 3.557%
On Target Over 4.541%
On Target Over 5.528%
Expected on target4.27

Shots per Game

Olympiakos Piraeus — total shots (home)14.6
NEC Nijmegen — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Olympiakos Piraeus — on target (home)3.6
NEC Nijmegen — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Olympiakos Piraeus

Inside the box7.2
Outside the box5.4

NEC Nijmegen

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Player Shots Olympiakos Piraeus

A. El Kaabi
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target30%
Gelson Martins
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
Chiquinho
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target30%
Daniel Podence
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
M. Taremi
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots NEC Nijmegen

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Olympiakos Piraeus xG (home)1.07
NEC Nijmegen xG (away)-

Average Possession

42.9% Possession -%

Team Comparison Olympiakos Piraeus vs NEC Nijmegen

75.8% Pass accuracy 0%
379.9 Passes per match -
-0.26 Goals prevented -
11.1 Fouls committed -
2.1 Goalkeeper saves -
2.5 Offsides -
15.8 Tackles per match -

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Olympiakos Piraeus vs NEC Nijmegen prediction analysis

Review Olympiakos Piraeus vs NEC Nijmegen with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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