Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Olympiakos Piraeus vs Pafos

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Pafos prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
UEFA Champions League 2025-09-17 16:45
Olympiakos Piraeus
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
36%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Pafos
Away

Prediction Summary

1
21%
X
28%
2
51%
Under 2.5
64%
BTTS No
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Olympiakos Piraeus (Home)

Goals scored / match1.2
Goals conceded / match1.4
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate40%

Pafos (Away)

Goals scored / match0.57
Goals conceded / match0.57
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate14%

Team Form last 5 matches

Olympiakos Piraeus
DLWWW
Pafos
WLLDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

60% +0.5 43%
40% +1.5 14%
20% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
40% BTTS 14%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 36%. Model confidence is Medium.

Olympiakos Piraeus averages 1.2 goals scored at home, while Pafos averages 0.57 goals scored away.

Model Strength
64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
21%
Draw
28%
Away Win
51%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS Yes
40%

Head-to-Head last 1

Sep 2025 Olympiakos Piraeus 0 - 0 Pafos Draw

In the last 1 meetings, Olympiakos Piraeus won 0, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Olympiakos Piraeus — unbeaten run (home)0
Olympiakos Piraeus — scoring streak (home)0
Pafos — winless run (away)4
Pafos — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Olympiakos Piraeus Win (1)21%
Draw (X)28%
Pafos Win (2)51%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

60% +0.5 43%
40% +1.5 14%
20% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

40% -0.5 57%
60% -1.5 86%
80% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Pafos — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Olympiakos Piraeus — scored (home)1.2
Olympiakos Piraeus — conceded (home)1.4
Pafos — scored (away)0.57
Pafos — conceded (away)0.57
Model expected combined goals2.13

Both Teams To Score

Yes40%
No60%

Rate per Team

Olympiakos Piraeus — BTTS matches (home)40%
Pafos — BTTS matches (away)14%
Combined (simple average)27%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.590%
Under 6.510%
Over 7.590%
Under 7.510%
Over 8.580%
Under 8.520%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.530%
Under 10.570%
Expected total corners (blended average)11.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Olympiakos Piraeus (home)

Corners for4.0
Corners against4.4

Pafos (away)

Corners for2.8
Corners against11.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Olympiakos Piraeus
9 10 9 6 9
Pafos
5 8 17 17 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.560%
Under 2.540%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Olympiakos Piraeus (home)

For1.6

Pafos (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

Olympiakos Piraeus — total shots (home)14.6
Pafos — total shots (away)9.0

Shots on Target

Olympiakos Piraeus — on target (home)3.6
Pafos — on target (away)3.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Olympiakos Piraeus

Inside the box7.2
Outside the box5.4

Pafos

Inside the box6.8
Outside the box3.3

Player Shots Olympiakos Piraeus

A. El Kaabi
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target30%
Gelson Martins
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
Chiquinho
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target30%
Daniel Podence
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
M. Taremi
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Pafos

João Correia
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
David Luiz
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
V. Dragomir
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target20%
M. Oršić
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
Anderson Silva
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Olympiakos Piraeus xG (home)1.07
Pafos xG (away)0.89

Average Possession

42.9% Possession 39%

Team Comparison Olympiakos Piraeus vs Pafos

75.8% Pass accuracy 75.3%
379.9 Passes per match 331.4
-0.26 Goals prevented -0.14
11.1 Fouls committed 12.4
2.1 Goalkeeper saves 4.1
2.5 Offsides 1.57
15.8 Tackles per match 14.6

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Pafos prediction analysis

Review Olympiakos Piraeus vs Pafos with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top