Prediction Analysis: Olympiakos Piraeus vs PSV Eindhoven
Olympiakos Piraeus vs PSV Eindhoven prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Olympiakos Piraeus
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
53%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
PSV Eindhoven
Away
Prediction Summary
1
35%
X
25%
2
40%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Olympiakos Piraeus (Home)
Goals scored / match1.2
Goals conceded / match1.4
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate40%
PSV Eindhoven (Away)
Goals scored / match1.5
Goals conceded / match1.5
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate75%
Team Form last 5 matches
Olympiakos Piraeus
DLWWW
PSV Eindhoven
LLLWD
Goals Comparison rate per team
60%
+0.5
75%
40%
+1.5
25%
20%
+2.5
25%
0%
+3.5
25%
0%
+4.5
0%
40%
BTTS
75%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Medium.
Olympiakos Piraeus averages 1.2 goals scored at home, while PSV Eindhoven averages 1.5 goals scored away.
Model Strength
57%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
35%
Draw
25%
Away Win
40%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
Head-to-Head last 3
Nov 2025
Olympiakos Piraeus
1 - 1
PSV Eindhoven
Draw
Feb 2021
Olympiakos Piraeus(A)
1 - 2
PSV Eindhoven
Away
Feb 2021
Olympiakos Piraeus
4 - 2
PSV Eindhoven
Home
In the last 3 meetings, Olympiakos Piraeus won 1, drew 1 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Olympiakos Piraeus — unbeaten run (home)0
Olympiakos Piraeus — scoring streak (home)0
PSV Eindhoven — winless run (away)1
PSV Eindhoven — clean sheets (away, last 4)0 of 4
1X2 Probability model
Olympiakos Piraeus Win (1)35%
Draw (X)25%
PSV Eindhoven Win (2)40%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
60%
+0.5
75%
40%
+1.5
25%
20%
+2.5
25%
0%
+3.5
25%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
40%
-0.5
25%
60%
-1.5
75%
80%
-2.5
75%
100%
-3.5
75%
100%
-4.5
100%
Olympiakos Piraeus vs PSV Eindhoven — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Olympiakos Piraeus — scored (home)1.2
Olympiakos Piraeus — conceded (home)1.4
PSV Eindhoven — scored (away)1.5
PSV Eindhoven — conceded (away)1.5
Model expected combined goals2.8
Both Teams To Score
Yes57%
No43%
Rate per Team
Olympiakos Piraeus — BTTS matches (home)40%
PSV Eindhoven — BTTS matches (away)75%
Combined (simple average)57.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.588%
Under 4.512%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.578%
Under 6.522%
Over 7.578%
Under 7.522%
Over 8.568%
Under 8.532%
Over 9.535%
Under 9.565%
Over 10.525%
Under 10.575%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.10
Per-Team Corners own matches
Olympiakos Piraeus (home)
Corners for4.0
Corners against4.4
PSV Eindhoven (away)
Corners for3.8
Corners against6.0
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Olympiakos Piraeus
9
10
9
6
9
PSV Eindhoven
9
15
14
4
11
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.543%
Under 2.557%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3
Yellow Cards per Team
Olympiakos Piraeus (home)
For1.6
PSV Eindhoven (away)
For1.8
Shots per Game
Olympiakos Piraeus — total shots (home)14.6
PSV Eindhoven — total shots (away)7.8
Shots on Target
Olympiakos Piraeus — on target (home)3.6
PSV Eindhoven — on target (away)2.5
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Olympiakos Piraeus
Inside the box7.2
Outside the box5.4
PSV Eindhoven
Inside the box6.63
Outside the box4.13
Player Shots Olympiakos Piraeus
A. El Kaabi
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target30%
Gelson Martins
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
Chiquinho
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target30%
Daniel Podence
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
M. Taremi
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target0%
Player Shots PSV Eindhoven
R. Pepi
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target40%
I. Saibari
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target14%
C. Driouech
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
I. Perišić
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
G. Til
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target0%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Olympiakos Piraeus xG (home)1.07
PSV Eindhoven xG (away)1.52
Average Possession
42.9%
Possession
51.88%
Team Comparison Olympiakos Piraeus vs PSV Eindhoven
75.8%
Pass accuracy
83.63%
379.9
Passes per match
466.63
-0.26
Goals prevented
-0.24
11.1
Fouls committed
10.25
2.1
Goalkeeper saves
3.88
2.5
Offsides
1.75
15.8
Tackles per match
18.88
League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Olympiakos Piraeus vs PSV Eindhoven prediction analysis
Review Olympiakos Piraeus vs PSV Eindhoven with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights