Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Omonia Aradippou vs AEL

Omonia Aradippou vs AEL prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Division 2025-12-07 15:00
Omonia Aradippou
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
53%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
AEL
Away

Prediction Summary

1
47%
X
25%
2
29%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Omonia Aradippou (Home)

Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate41%

AEL (Away)

Goals scored / match1.13
Goals conceded / match1.44
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate38%

Team Form last 5 matches

Omonia Aradippou
WWLDD
AEL
WLDLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

59% +0.5 63%
29% +1.5 38%
12% +2.5 13%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
41% BTTS 38%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Medium.

Omonia Aradippou averages 1.06 goals scored at home, while AEL averages 1.13 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
47%
Draw
25%
Away Win
29%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
56%

Head-to-Head last 3

Apr 2026 Omonia Aradippou 0 - 3 AEL Away
Mar 2026 Omonia Aradippou(A) 2 - 1 AEL Home
Dec 2025 Omonia Aradippou 1 - 3 AEL Away

In the last 3 meetings, Omonia Aradippou won 1, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Omonia Aradippou — unbeaten run (home)2
Omonia Aradippou — scoring streak (home)2
AEL — winless run (away)0
AEL — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Omonia Aradippou Win (1)47%
Draw (X)25%
AEL Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

59% +0.5 63%
29% +1.5 38%
12% +2.5 13%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

41% -0.5 37%
71% -1.5 62%
88% -2.5 87%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Omonia Aradippou vs AEL — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Omonia Aradippou — scored (home)1.06
Omonia Aradippou — conceded (home)1.47
AEL — scored (away)1.13
AEL — conceded (away)1.44
Model expected combined goals2.8

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%
No44%

Rate per Team

Omonia Aradippou — BTTS matches (home)41%
AEL — BTTS matches (away)38%
Combined (simple average)39.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.517%
Under 4.583%
Over 5.517%
Under 5.583%
Over 6.517%
Under 6.583%
Over 7.517%
Under 7.583%
Over 8.517%
Under 8.583%
Over 9.517%
Under 9.583%
Over 10.517%
Under 10.583%
Expected total corners (blended average)4.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Omonia Aradippou (home)

Corners for3.0
Corners against3.0

AEL (away)

Corners for1.3
Corners against2.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Omonia Aradippou
5 10 8 3 11
AEL
8 2 3 11 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.5100%
Under 2.50%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Omonia Aradippou (home)

For3.0

AEL (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Omonia Aradippou — total shots (home)10.7
AEL — total shots (away)9.0

Shots on Target

Omonia Aradippou — on target (home)4.7
AEL — on target (away)4.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Omonia Aradippou

Inside the box6.88
Outside the box5.13

AEL

Inside the box6.8
Outside the box4.6

Player Shots Omonia Aradippou

S. Lomónaco
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target67%
S. Georgiou
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target86%
+1.5 On Target29%
J. Mouaddib
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target86%
+1.5 On Target14%
G. Pontikos
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target13%
J. Assehnoun
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%

Player Shots AEL

L. Singh
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
Z. Sawo
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target22%
Léo Natel
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
A. Panagiotou
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
D. Paroutis
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Omonia Aradippou xG (home)1.35
AEL xG (away)1.38

Average Possession

42.13% Possession 50.5%

Team Comparison Omonia Aradippou vs AEL

78.74% Pass accuracy 79.5%
309.75 Passes per match 372
0 Goals prevented 0
16.75 Fouls committed 12.5
2.88 Goalkeeper saves 2.2
1.13 Offsides 0.9
3.75 Tackles per match 3

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Omonia Aradippou vs AEL prediction analysis

Review Omonia Aradippou vs AEL with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Division.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Division
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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