Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Once Caldas vs America de Cali

Once Caldas vs America de Cali prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-04-05 23:20
Once Caldas
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
36%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
America de Cali
Away

Prediction Summary

1
32%
X
30%
2
38%
Under 2.5
64%
BTTS No
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Once Caldas (Home)

Goals scored / match1.48
Goals conceded / match1.13
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate52%

America de Cali (Away)

Goals scored / match0.88
Goals conceded / match0.96
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

Once Caldas
DWDWL
America de Cali
WLDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

87% +0.5 62%
35% +1.5 19%
17% +2.5 4%
4% +3.5 4%
4% +4.5 0%
52% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 36%. Model confidence is Medium.

Once Caldas averages 1.48 goals scored at home, while America de Cali averages 0.88 goals scored away.

Model Strength
64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
32%
Draw
30%
Away Win
38%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS Yes
43%

Head-to-Head last 2

Sep 2025 Once Caldas(A) 1 - 2 America de Cali Away
Apr 2025 Once Caldas 3 - 0 America de Cali Home

In the last 2 meetings, Once Caldas won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Once Caldas — unbeaten run (home)2
Once Caldas — scoring streak (home)6
America de Cali — winless run (away)4
America de Cali — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Once Caldas Win (1)32%
Draw (X)30%
America de Cali Win (2)38%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

87% +0.5 62%
35% +1.5 19%
17% +2.5 4%
4% +3.5 4%
4% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

13% -0.5 38%
65% -1.5 81%
83% -2.5 96%
96% -3.5 96%
96% -4.5 100%

Once Caldas vs America de Cali — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Once Caldas — scored (home)1.48
Once Caldas — conceded (home)1.13
America de Cali — scored (away)0.88
America de Cali — conceded (away)0.96
Model expected combined goals2.13

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%
No57%

Rate per Team

Once Caldas — BTTS matches (home)52%
America de Cali — BTTS matches (away)35%
Combined (simple average)43.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.596%
Under 4.54%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.576%
Under 7.524%
Over 8.558%
Under 8.542%
Over 9.544%
Under 9.556%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Once Caldas (home)

Corners for5.4
Corners against4.7

America de Cali (away)

Corners for4.0
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Once Caldas
7 14 14 5 6
America de Cali
7 7 4 6 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.590%
Under 2.510%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Once Caldas (home)

For3.2

America de Cali (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Once Caldas — total shots (home)14.6
America de Cali — total shots (away)11.3

Shots on Target

Once Caldas — on target (home)5.3
America de Cali — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Once Caldas

Inside the box6.02
Outside the box6.42

America de Cali

Inside the box7.31
Outside the box6.38

Player Shots Once Caldas

H. Dorrego
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
D. Moreno
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target23%
J. Zapata
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. Barrios
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. García
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target19%

Player Shots America de Cali

D. Vergara
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target36%
J. Quintero
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target29%
Luis Ramos
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target26%
Pipe Gómez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target17%
T. Palacios
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Once Caldas xG (home)0.94
America de Cali xG (away)0.87

Average Possession

49.73% Possession 52.4%

Team Comparison Once Caldas vs America de Cali

81.02% Pass accuracy 81.27%
358.62 Passes per match 393.67
0 Goals prevented 0
11.36 Fouls committed 12.02
3.64 Goalkeeper saves 3
2.43 Offsides 1.86
12.47 Tackles per match 12.15

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Once Caldas vs America de Cali prediction analysis

Review Once Caldas vs America de Cali with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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