What markets are included in the Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pasto prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pasto prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pasto

Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pasto prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-11-09 19:00

Once Caldas

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

41%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Deportivo Pasto

Away

Prediction Summary

50%

27%

23%

Under 2.5

59%

BTTS No

55%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Once Caldas (Home)

Goals scored / match1.48

Goals conceded / match1.13

Over 2.5 rate17%

BTTS rate52%

Deportivo Pasto (Away)

Goals scored / match0.55

Goals conceded / match1.35

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate40%

Team Form last 5 matches

Once Caldas

DWDWL

Deportivo Pasto

WLWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

87% +0.5 45%

35% +1.5 10%

17% +2.5 0%

4% +3.5 0%

4% +4.5 0%

52% BTTS 40%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 41%. Model confidence is Medium.

Once Caldas averages 1.48 goals scored at home, while Deportivo Pasto averages 0.55 goals scored away.

Model Strength

59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

50%

Draw

27%

Away Win

23%

Over 2.5

41%

BTTS Yes

45%

Head-to-Head last 2

Nov 2025 Once Caldas 1 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Home

May 2025 Once Caldas(A) 1 - 2 Deportivo Pasto Away

In the last 2 meetings, Once Caldas won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Once Caldas — unbeaten run (home)2

Once Caldas — scoring streak (home)6

Deportivo Pasto — winless run (away)17

Deportivo Pasto — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Once Caldas Win (1)50%

Draw (X)27%

Deportivo Pasto Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

87% +0.5 45%

35% +1.5 10%

17% +2.5 0%

4% +3.5 0%

4% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

13% -0.5 55%

65% -1.5 90%

83% -2.5 100%

96% -3.5 100%

96% -4.5 100%

Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pasto — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Once Caldas — scored (home)1.48

Once Caldas — conceded (home)1.13

Deportivo Pasto — scored (away)0.55

Deportivo Pasto — conceded (away)1.35

Model expected combined goals2.32

Both Teams To Score

Yes45%

No55%

Rate per Team

Once Caldas — BTTS matches (home)52%

Deportivo Pasto — BTTS matches (away)40%

Combined (simple average)46%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.593%

Under 5.57%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.567%

Under 7.533%

Over 8.560%

Under 8.540%

Over 9.554%

Under 9.546%

Over 10.542%

Under 10.558%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Once Caldas (home)

Corners for5.4

Corners against4.7

Deportivo Pasto (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against6.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Once Caldas

7 14 14 5 6

Deportivo Pasto

7 16 11 5 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.594%

Under 2.56%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Once Caldas (home)

For3.2

Deportivo Pasto (away)

For3.7

Shots per Game

Once Caldas — total shots (home)14.6

Deportivo Pasto — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

Once Caldas — on target (home)5.3

Deportivo Pasto — on target (away)3.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Once Caldas

Inside the box6.02

Outside the box6.42

Deportivo Pasto

Inside the box5.88

Outside the box5.6

Player Shots Once Caldas

H. Dorrego

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

D. Moreno

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target59%

+1.5 On Target23%

J. Zapata

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target11%

M. Barrios

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target11%

M. García

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target19%

Player Shots Deportivo Pasto

Y. Valois

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target56%

F. Boné

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target12%

G. Torres

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target11%

D. Camacho

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target0%

J. Rivas

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Once Caldas xG (home)0.94

Deportivo Pasto xG (away)0.98

Average Possession

49.73% Possession 43.55%

Team Comparison Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pasto

81.02% Pass accuracy 78.88%

358.62 Passes per match 317.15

0 Goals prevented 0

11.36 Fouls committed 13.58

3.64 Goalkeeper saves 2.55

2.43 Offsides 1.58

12.47 Tackles per match 12.18

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pasto prediction analysis

Review Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pasto with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights