Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira

Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-09-06 01:10
Once Caldas
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
43%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Deportivo Pereira
Away

Prediction Summary

1
51%
X
26%
2
23%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS No
54%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Once Caldas (Home)

Goals scored / match1.48
Goals conceded / match1.13
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate52%

Deportivo Pereira (Away)

Goals scored / match0.65
Goals conceded / match1.8
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate40%

Team Form last 5 matches

Once Caldas
DWDWL
Deportivo Pereira
LLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

87% +0.5 45%
35% +1.5 15%
17% +2.5 5%
4% +3.5 0%
4% +4.5 0%
52% BTTS 40%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.

Once Caldas averages 1.48 goals scored at home, while Deportivo Pereira averages 0.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
51%
Draw
26%
Away Win
23%
Over 2.5
43%
BTTS Yes
46%

Head-to-Head last 4

Sep 2025 Once Caldas 1 - 0 Deportivo Pereira Home
Aug 2025 Once Caldas(A) 1 - 2 Deportivo Pereira Away
Mar 2025 Once Caldas(A) 1 - 1 Deportivo Pereira Draw
Feb 2025 Once Caldas 3 - 1 Deportivo Pereira Home

In the last 4 meetings, Once Caldas won 2, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Once Caldas — unbeaten run (home)2
Once Caldas — scoring streak (home)6
Deportivo Pereira — winless run (away)15
Deportivo Pereira — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Once Caldas Win (1)51%
Draw (X)26%
Deportivo Pereira Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

87% +0.5 45%
35% +1.5 15%
17% +2.5 5%
4% +3.5 0%
4% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

13% -0.5 55%
65% -1.5 85%
83% -2.5 95%
96% -3.5 100%
96% -4.5 100%

Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Once Caldas — scored (home)1.48
Once Caldas — conceded (home)1.13
Deportivo Pereira — scored (away)0.65
Deportivo Pereira — conceded (away)1.8
Model expected combined goals2.41

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%
No54%

Rate per Team

Once Caldas — BTTS matches (home)52%
Deportivo Pereira — BTTS matches (away)40%
Combined (simple average)46%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.596%
Under 4.54%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.582%
Under 7.518%
Over 8.568%
Under 8.532%
Over 9.554%
Under 9.546%
Over 10.542%
Under 10.558%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Once Caldas (home)

Corners for5.4
Corners against4.7

Deportivo Pereira (away)

Corners for4.7
Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Once Caldas
7 14 14 5 6
Deportivo Pereira
10 7 11 8 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.593%
Under 1.57%
Over 2.586%
Under 2.514%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Once Caldas (home)

For3.2

Deportivo Pereira (away)

For3.6

Shots per Game

Once Caldas — total shots (home)14.6
Deportivo Pereira — total shots (away)10.4

Shots on Target

Once Caldas — on target (home)5.3
Deportivo Pereira — on target (away)3.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Once Caldas

Inside the box6.02
Outside the box6.42

Deportivo Pereira

Inside the box6.05
Outside the box5.35

Player Shots Once Caldas

H. Dorrego
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
D. Moreno
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target23%
J. Zapata
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. Barrios
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. García
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target19%

Player Shots Deportivo Pereira

D. Quintero
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target16%
J. Quiñones
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target15%
S. Merheg
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Estacio
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
G. Torres
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Once Caldas xG (home)0.94
Deportivo Pereira xG (away)1.06

Average Possession

49.73% Possession 45.4%

Team Comparison Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira

81.02% Pass accuracy 75.78%
358.62 Passes per match 315.05
0 Goals prevented 0
11.36 Fouls committed 13.2
3.64 Goalkeeper saves 3.45
2.43 Offsides 2.03
12.47 Tackles per match 11.3

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira prediction analysis

Review Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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